Monday, April 25, 2011

Cal Watch disputes the LA Times on Tax hikes and spending cuts

The LA Times report on the poll is here. Wayne Lusvardi has a different interpretation here.

I am not an expert on polling, but Wayne makes the following assertion:
The real indicator of public opinion in a poll is revealed when the replies indicate extreme percentages such as 80 percent or higher or 20 percent or lower. Anything in between indicates that survey respondents may not be knowledgeable about the question or the influence of possible conformity effects.

Poll Results

Total White Latino
Cutting spending 33% 35% 29%
Increasing taxes 9% 11% 5%
Combination of cutting and increasing  taxes 53% 50% 60%
None 2% 2% 2%
Don’t know 2% 2% 3%
Refused 0% 0% 0%

Looking at this I am in some agreement, the certain voters prefer cutting spending 3 to 1 over raising taxes. This does sound like corruption from the LA Times.  I think the correct answer is cut spending by 30 billion and raise taxes by 15 billion.

A much better answer is to default and force the restructuring. 

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