How to predict the recessions.

Some economist named Matt Busigin says the blue squiggly line does not quite predict recession.  He is right.  But he neglects those blue bars, they absolutely predict a recession.  This business cycle is at its end.  This cycle is more like the Reagan cycle, we got one minor cycle of the blue squiggly  and thhen another recession.  Can we do the Clinton? The squiggly went two complete cycles.