Wednesday, March 30, 2016

The Commie Rats are taking profits from their dollars

The dollar ran up in value by 20% in a year. Chinese Commies have been selling the things at their peak value, collecting a big basket of currencies, buying houses and businesses world wide.

But we see the blue line drops back to trend typically, on some pattern unknown to me, but drop it will, and the underlying trend is down..  If I were a Commie Rat with a huge pile of dollars, then the trend tells me to spend them now as the dollar will soon  lose 30% of its value.


Causality:

Here is a clue on cause and effect, by the way  The dollar index is twice the cycle of the blue bars, there are about two blue bars per dollar peak.  So spectral theory says the blue line mostly reacts to the blue bars. A reverse  form of the Nyquist.  Remember, this is self adapting, the blue bars force the blue line by sampling, or price discovery.  Sampling takes resources, it is costly, and causes the thing sampled to appear appropriately matching the Nyquist criteria.

Learning models, for example, they are an adaption of the agents to discovered conditions.  The conditons are, how often am I sampled.  (How often will I change jobs, how long ios the semester, how soon to graduatipon, and so on).  As the agents adapt their transaction appear to meet the Nyquist criteria.  Both the adaption and the mathematical model of adaption will follow this rule.  There is an implicit or explicit Nyquist rule that needs to be obeyed in research, otherwise there is severe aliasing error..

The theory of everything says that perfect spectral allocation is impossible, there is always kinetic motion, narure never completely learns  the conditions.

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