Sunday, November 13, 2016

Like betting the numbers

Pit.bos = Estimation

Here the number comes in, the pit boss still sees a graph convolution, it simply has a singelton graoh. It descends, and at any givennoe can tell if the descending estimates were likely guesses of estimates; and compute a probability weeighted, break even payoff.  Remeber transaction costs are zero, we watch ads.

Now government and private entities should compete to both produce and estimate real parameters, under an exposed contract.  The contract specifies that they are to exactly inside trade, if they don't they owe us big time. We an watch their ads, even put some digits into their common pool. But, at fixed point, we know what  is happening.

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