Wednesday, January 18, 2012
OK, back to economic theory
Back when I simply said, OK, lets create the quantum model, based simply on the fact of the large crash, Oct 2008. In looking at the equations, I knew I had a yield curve, and from my background cast about looking for a model that dealt with the Corridor Hypothesis. My background caused a pattern match with Burg of Stanford.
Burg, I summarized as performing the smooth Fourier transform, then entropy encoding that result with something like a Huffman encoder. That led me back to Shannon and Kelly an Benford's law and channel theory.
But it is still Burg, but in a different order. The economy does the Huffamn encoding first, in order to get quants that generate a smooth Fourier math about a Lagrange point, essentially. We edjust the economy as if to make money work, and money needs a zero (the additive identity). The economy creates a model that gets us a Zero for a while, but eventually we start to meander over to the Zero point and the quants no longer are stable, we need a Recalc.
Nature has no Zero, it is artificial! But Zero makes transaction simple, low cost;, it enables money. The trade off, use the broken model, but eventually it needs calibration.
Burg, I summarized as performing the smooth Fourier transform, then entropy encoding that result with something like a Huffman encoder. That led me back to Shannon and Kelly an Benford's law and channel theory.
But it is still Burg, but in a different order. The economy does the Huffamn encoding first, in order to get quants that generate a smooth Fourier math about a Lagrange point, essentially. We edjust the economy as if to make money work, and money needs a zero (the additive identity). The economy creates a model that gets us a Zero for a while, but eventually we start to meander over to the Zero point and the quants no longer are stable, we need a Recalc.
Nature has no Zero, it is artificial! But Zero makes transaction simple, low cost;, it enables money. The trade off, use the broken model, but eventually it needs calibration.
I am using a web repository!!
Mainly for the Wiki pages to describe semantic machine, and I point the Wiki pages back to the code page on the right. But at least I am using the formal method to talk to other programmers, I get past the signalling!!
It is all in our imagination, I use a formal repository, but only as a wiki blog to explain the thing. I know that software geeks follow the new repositories, so yet again, this is not much more than a search gimmick. But the wiki explanation of semantic machine will be stable there, and I can go on abusing this blog without embarrassing the semantic machine market.
It is all in our imagination, I use a formal repository, but only as a wiki blog to explain the thing. I know that software geeks follow the new repositories, so yet again, this is not much more than a search gimmick. But the wiki explanation of semantic machine will be stable there, and I can go on abusing this blog without embarrassing the semantic machine market.
I declare a write in candidacy to replace Jim Costa in Congress
My platform? Jim Costa and the Obama/LaHood Choo Choo scam, enough to have the bum thrown in jail, or at least be deselected.
Wherever you see Jim Costa on any ballot, or if you vote in Republican primary, write in Matt Young. Fresno is not that stupid to fall for Choo Choo one more time, it is too embarrassing for Fresno to be the butt of constant Train to Nowhere jokes.
No one else wants to run.
Wherever you see Jim Costa on any ballot, or if you vote in Republican primary, write in Matt Young. Fresno is not that stupid to fall for Choo Choo one more time, it is too embarrassing for Fresno to be the butt of constant Train to Nowhere jokes.
No one else wants to run.
Tuesday, January 17, 2012
Fossil, a new code repositary
Yet another, in about three. This one has little support so far, and there seems to be no desire for group projects using this, yet. But fun, for a while.
Speed Freak Killers
Herzog was convicted in 2001 of the methamphetamine-fueled rape and murder of Vanderheiden and the killings of two other people in the mid-1980s. His trial and the case against a co-defendant, childhood friend Wesley Shermantine, were moved to Santa Clara County from San Joaquin County because of extensive pretrial publicity over what were dubbed the "speed freak killers."
Read more: http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?f=/c/a/2012/01/17/BAK51MQI8C.DTL#ixzz1jlVwXPBf
I=S for all transactions
But my most controversial charge was that Wren-Lewis (and by implication Krugman) forget that S=I.Money IllusionI go with Scott. The idea is that I=S has to be the outcome in the model, if one assumes that I!=S, then one has a new model. Can't have it both ways.
Channel flow does have moments outside the model, sorry, I guess those periods radiate goods. Oct 2009? The model on that day was certainly different than the usual model.
The general question is, can one construct a single model always and everywhere consistent? Not when I,S -> 0, because near zero the model blows, and all models usually have a zero so the algebra has additive identity, and thus generating a robust language.
The only repair is a transform that moves the definition of I,S away from zero, and that's a new model.
Sung to the tune of
Here comes QE, here comes QE
Coming down QE Lane
Geithner Bernanke and all the New York primes
Placing their puts and
Printers hummin, traders grinnin
All is merry and bright
Grab your balls and say some paryers
Because QEs comin tonight
Mises breaks the News
Property rights on the lyrics subject to the CutnPaste license
Coming down QE Lane
Geithner Bernanke and all the New York primes
Placing their puts and
Printers hummin, traders grinnin
All is merry and bright
Grab your balls and say some paryers
Because QEs comin tonight
Mises breaks the News
Property rights on the lyrics subject to the CutnPaste license
Markets in Everything
An Iranian firm, seeking to capitalize on the frenzy that followed the crash of the drone — and American calls to have it returned — is now producing miniaturized toy versions of the craft. Most of the toys, which come in several colors and are made of Iranian plastic, have already been snapped up by Iranian government organizations, according to the group that manufactures them. WA PostThe remote control version will be very popular.
Mish on recession indicators
Turning points in unemployment, heres Mish:
Mish reminds me of those CERN physicists, trying to find the optimum encoding of a finite set of events seeing if they identify a Higgs.
Looking at longer-term trends, I count 4 instances in red where weekly-claims was more of a lagging indicator than anything else. A recession started 4 times with weekly claims at or very near the lows.
I count 3 recessions in green where a weak case can be made that claims are a leading indicator. However, I can also count six instances in which weekly claims turned up relatively sharply and there was no recession.
Mish reminds me of those CERN physicists, trying to find the optimum encoding of a finite set of events seeing if they identify a Higgs.
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