This is not real existential for the oligarchs. They can gain partial legitimacy regardless of outcome, time has passed. Russian trade has much to gain from a neutral Ukraine and the oligarchs on either side know this. Russia, is about half the federation, and that half is about to thirds the size of California. Their future in with the EU, they know it. In Belarus, about 90% support the EU over the federation.
The oligarchs will relent, it is business, it is where the trade is. Putin will do what the oligarchs vote for.
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