Friday, January 14, 2011

Greenspan and Money Delusion

Federal Reserve staff and policy makers identified a housing bubble in 2005 and failed to alter a predictable path of interest-rate increases to slow down the expansion of mortgage credit, transcripts from Open Market Committee meetings that year show.
Led by then-Chairman Alan Greenspan, the FOMC raised the benchmark lending rate in quarter-point increments to 4.25 percent from 2.25 percent at the end of December 2004. The committee also removed uncertainty about the pace of rate increases by telegraphing that future moves would be “measured” in every statement.

Beckworth has more details on this Bloomberg story.  The problem here is the Greenspan lived in a delusional world in which he thinks time is constant and the economy infinitely dimensional.  Today economists are starting to get how Channel Theory works, even Ben.  But they still have to quantize QE2 as a smooth function (rather than a sequence of trades)  until the research is complete.  Maybe this is the end of the Money Delusion.

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