Russia!

 

The mobilization wiped out s fifth of the Russian prime labor force.  Drafted, escaped, or waiting in that queue.  Putin had already snarled the system with his erratic war maneuvers. Sanctions are only forty percent effective, but very inconvenient. Oil less profitable, and now some 20% of your labor force gone from White Russia.

To top it off, we have a civil war inside, and the pipeline war was an internal battle in Russia.  Giant .compromised  Russian oil companies are at war over where the Russian state should spend development.  one major seems to be using mafia tactics.

These kids are escaping a possible Stalinist take over.  A lot of this was thrust into Russian politics with the Ukraine blunder, and it  is likely quite chaotic inside the Kremlin. The two over powering state agencies are the army and FSB.  The army does not want to be the cause of Stalinism. The army wants ans exit.