Showing posts with label sunspots. Show all posts
Showing posts with label sunspots. Show all posts

Saturday, January 1, 2011

A futures market for global temperature

I take it for granted that mean global temperature is a proxy for climate change. We should bet it. Bet temperature 10 years out. If we bet a higher temperature than today, then we release money used for efficiency, the counter bet.

We bet the future temperature, we create this counter flow of events that must occur for the bet to be true. We end up knowing future temperature better. Since precision is limited, we end up knowing short term weather worse. By entanglement we participate in the chain of events from today's temperature to tomorrows, become part of a quantized chain causing temperature. Hence by definition we are maximally solvent concerning future climate change. It works via hedging, the more the better knows about weather change, the better he can hedge a weather bet.

For example. Consider the Siberian tundra. Many would bet that the tundra drives temperature to a known value. Someone with a surface spray, a better sealing grass or moss, a curative process would take the opposite bet. The bets would determine future value in land use, bets against high tides would be hedged by industries useful having utility in high tides. As we get balanced adaption by this process, the net affect is lower temperature by pre-computing efficiency use of entropy.

Even my current passion for sunspots would be good, we would like to coordinate with sunspots, actually seek and monetize the channel between sunspots and futures betting, sort of return to a Sun religion. Embrace entanglement and keep it optimum.

Friday, December 31, 2010

Before dismissing sunspots

Before science can deal with sunspots, science has to know how long the sun has been sporting the 11 year cycle.  A billion years of a very weak sunspot cycle would accumulate a consistent but subtle period process in the biosphere, or ocean currents; equivalent to the effect of a million years of cycles with stronger magnitudes. Information theory only requires the effect be informative. Look for the dual process, look for earth processes that may be slight but strongly periodic with the cycle. It is rate*size, not just size.

If Matrix theory is correct, then it is precision, there would be no other absolute measure in physics. Particles and frequency appear only to the extent that they determine the most precise set of bounded functions. The physical constant to look for is a constant precision, the bounded, finite functions being just precise enough to define an expansion constant. A fixed precision that is scale invariant, always finding sufficient effects to measure.

In economics, we would be concerned that the economy measures sunspots, not whether sunspots are strong.