Thursday, September 30, 2021
The federal court system is a jammed up mess
Will the central banks stop prosperity exclusivity?
California needs four or five years to recover
Notice that California spent half of the expansion recovering from the last crash.
Recovery back to six points of unemployment is not yet in the works. The rate of decline has leveled.
Petro dollar barely hanging on
It is a knife edge, and if the system breaks all hell breaks loose.
Wednesday, September 29, 2021
Mostly bad econ advice killed the whole mess
Democrat infighting could doom Biden's twin $4.7 trillion spending plans
WASHINGTON (AP) — Congress is moving to avert one crisis while putting off another with the Senate poised to approve legislation that would fund the federal government into early December.
The House is expected to approve the measure following the Senate vote Thursday, preventing a partial government shutdown when the new fiscal year begins Friday.
Democrats were forced to remove a suspension of the federal government’s borrowing limit from the bill at the insistence of Republicans. If the debt limit isn’t raised by Oct. 18, the country would likely face a financial crisis and economic recession, says Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen. Republicans say Democrats have the votes to raise the debt ceiling on their own, and Republican leader Mitch McConnell is insisting that they do so.
So there went my four figure check. Also, Powell is forced to follow through on taper. And AOC, my favorite leftist, learned a lesson in American government.
Have Joe end us all another four figure check
Schumer, Pelosi toil to ease cross-Capitol rifts over Biden agenda
And we will enshrine his legacy.
Make stuff so we won't notice that Trump is a dumbass
Let's delay all voting until December and see if Powell really plans a taper.
Tuesday, September 28, 2021
It is time for Trump to release a dick pic
A practice devaluation at the Fed
Just a hundred billion, over the year. Just to test the idea.
The Fed can have an algorithm that selects erasures along the Treasury curve. Hundred billion is peanuts, worthless cash. Announce the plan and every econs can begin collecting data for their experiments.
We will call it a research expense, standard risk test for central bankers. Why not? A real human trials if ever there was.
Monday, September 27, 2021
Arnold Kling thinks our oil production increase was trial and error
Look a US oil production after the 2008 crash. Ardnold Kling this was a trial and error effort.
And every recovery involves discovering new patterns of sustainable specialization and trade, requiriing entrepreneurial trial and error.
Free horse manure
Abbott says Texas vote audits aren’t all about Trump
He said he wasn’t merely bowing to the wishes of the former president
.
Sunday, September 26, 2021
If this vote fails then the rate cycle begin on the following Monday
A moment of truth
Oil has broken 75 and FX insurance costs have raised the ten year to 1.45, the dollar should still go down. Result? High costs for the consumer and a slow down of private consumption.
Someone at the Fed is quite clueless to think they control the inflation rate or lending. They are beholding to petrobanks and Japanese insurance banks.
Goldman Raises Year-End Oil Price Target To $90
Pretty damned easy to assassinate Trumpster
Kidnapping, assassination and a London shoot-out:
Inside the CIA's secret war plans against WikiLeaks In 2017, as Julian Assange began his fifth year holed up in Ecuador’s embassy in London, the CIA plotted to kidnap the WikiLeaks founder, spurring heated debate among Trump administration officials over the legality and practicality of such an operation.
In the era of unregulated drones it seems the CIA nor Secret service can keep any politician safe. Yet the NSA refuses to allow secure and safe drones. One might think the dumbshit Trump would have sorted this out before he began his killing spree. Certainly the CIA should have some inkling or clue, I dunno how many of these idiot CIA officers have gotten themselves killed over the decade.
There is something in the Swamp that makes stupid. My advice is to stay out of the Swamp and let it go bankrupt on its own.
A losing strategy
Saturday, September 25, 2021
Marco Rubio is a Commie Rat and does not even know it
@MarcoRubio introduces legislation to allow shareholders to sue corporations for prioritizing political ideology—such as "socialism, Marxism, [and] critical race theory"—over their fiduciary duty to maximize long-term shareholder value.
Marco is another of those wannbe tin horn dictators. Stupid as fuck, makes Abbot look intelligent.
Friday, September 24, 2021
Yes, the Trumpster is an idiot
Trump Allies’ Arizona Election Audit Confirms Biden Victory
Thursday, September 23, 2021
Latin America and the Caribbean in full collapse
Haitian standoff in Texas reflects broader mix of nationalities fleeing pandemic-hobbled economies from around the hemispheres reflects broader mix of nationalities fleeing pandemic-hobbled economies from around the hemisphere
Zillions of poor natives appearing just South of Texas. Looks like the onset of Mad Max, total collapse of civilization.
Deranged NRA nut on the loose in Tennessee
They all seem a bit nutty over there
Oil break 73 and ten year yield at 1.41
FX insurance rates on the dollar have risen. The dollar should decline a bit. Thus more import inflation.
Unless the petro system breaks, my usual caveat.
Wednesday, September 22, 2021
Count me in
The Fed has no clue
Bill Gates was porking Epstein's little girls
Oil bouncing between 70 ad 72
WTI Slides After Surprise Gasoline Build, Smaller Than Expected Crude Draw
The oil surge is not happening yet. I have quit calling a number, something is broken or it is working quite well. I dunno, how long can the petrobanks hold?
Tuesday, September 21, 2021
Planet of the apes, in reverse
Dead cat bounce day in the markets
That is all.
Except oil, now 70, down a buck. This is noise, the oil price surge has not happened yet.
Monday, September 20, 2021
Hey, Arnold a little PSST helps
Why are large cities one-party states?
Texas politicians are fairly dumb
The legislation allows anyone, anywhere to sue people involved in providing abortion care or practical support to patients in Texas and win judgments of $10,000 or more. This would open the floodgates for lawsuits, bury clinics under frivolous court cases and legal fees, and likely make it impossible for many providers to remain open and for most patients to get care before the six-week cutoff. This has been aptly dubbed the “sue thy neighbor” law by abortion rights supporters
This is nor repub, this is that idiot Abbot pretend the citizens can force the issue via civil courts. This is Abbot not knowing what a repub is, then letting stupid consultant write a private enforcement bill. DeSantis, Ted Cruz, Abbot and pals have no idea what a repub is, they just collect whatever bizarre story gets votes. We are screwed, both parties have left the farm.
Sunday, September 19, 2021
Pray for Chicago homeowners
The levy increase covers $22.9 million for the automatic escalator tied to the consumer price index; $25 million to bankroll the 2022 installment of Lightfoot’s $3.7 billion capital plan; and $28.6 million captured from “new property.”
These public sector states, stuck. Being an unprotected homeowner is frightening in Chicago, Hew York, and sometimes California. Winning elections and counting well often diverge.
Saturday, September 18, 2021
Talibunny governance
Taliban Shootout in Palace Sidelines Leader Who Dealt With U.S.
Friday, September 17, 2021
VoteI ID laws mostly supress Repub voters
Do voter identification laws ensure secure and trustworthy elections,
or are they a way for political parties to manipulate the democratic process in their favor?
At a September 8th debate in New York City hosted by the Soho Forum, Eliza Sweren-Becker from NYU's Brennan Center for Justice, argued that state legislators are using arbitrary rules to suppress the voting rights of vulnerable citizens.
And they are rapidly becoming a minority.
If the Federales burn enough oil then global warming goes away?
Saying climate change is a “global poisoning event” that threatens the health of Central Valley residents, the head of Fresno County Public Health on Friday called for congressional support of climate investments through President Joe Biden’s Build Back Better Act.
Interim Health Officer Dr. Rais Vohra said Fresno County “is among the regions in California that are most vulnerable to the detrimental effects of a changing climate, specifically the combined hazards of excessive heat, drought, wildfire smoke and air pollution.”
The perfect cure for voter's regret
Oil down below 72, ten year yield at 1.37 and all markets red
The FX insurers and petrobanks still in control.
Thursday, September 16, 2021
Trump demand Virginian Repubs boycott election.
Like a million dollars of cheap suicide drones?
Trump demands Repubs refuse to vote
Hill:
Former President Trump's insistence on spreading unfounded claims of election fraud is threatening to hurt the Republican Party in the upcoming 2021 and 2022 elections.
The growing concerns among some Republicans come after Gov. Gavin Newsom (D) handily beat back an effort to recall him in California, where registered Democrats made up a disproportionately high number of mail-in votes.
Repub governors everywhere are planning strict law to prevent Repubs from voting. The popular plan is working well.
Stocks open down
By a half point. The BLS print that claimed an unexpected rise in Aug retail spending was determined to be noise. We now wait the dip buyers, if they come.
The ten year yield back to 1.35, an eight basis point swing. Oil now below 72. I think we are too sensitive to oil prices.
I would rather Joe take more naps
Democrats want the president more involved as trillions of dollars in spending, plus the nation's credit and government funding, hang in the balance.
The naps keep him alive.
Politicians taking bribes according to Huffington Post
House Democrats Opposed To Biden Agenda Actually Hail From Safe Seats
Corporate donations, not electoral fears, appear to be motivating obstructionist Democrats.
True. These bribes are from Big Pharma.
Looking for the run up in oil prices
Wednesday, September 15, 2021
If you are Repub, do not bother voting
General Milley saves world from deranged president about to launch nuclear war
The Trump was stark raving mad when he lost the election, prepared to do anything to save face. General Milley saves the day.
Tuesday, September 14, 2021
Monday, September 13, 2021
They refer to Tom Brady as the old man
“In Washington, I usually know my questions of power are getting somewhere when the powerful stop referring to me as ‘Congresswoman’ and start referring to me as 'young lady' instead,” she tweeted.
“Imagine if every time someone referred to someone as ‘young lady’ they were ask responded to by being addressed with their age and gender?” she continued. “They’d be pretty upset if one responded with ‘the old man,’ right? Why this kind of weird, patronizing behavior is so accepted is beyond me!”
I call you my favorite leftist on account of you spunkiness and funny gestures. You add entertainment to the Swamp, otherwise a place of human sewage.
It was never about being Green
Most electric vehicles would be given a $7,500 tax credit, however that rebate would jump to $12,500 per car if the cars were union-made under the Democratic proposal.
The incentive was introduced on Friday as part of the $3.5 trillion reconciliation spending package. By 2030, President Biden aims to have electric vehicles make up at least half of the country’s car sales, according to Reuters.
The fovored group always get an oil subsidy first, via government. The net result is Brown.
Sunday, September 12, 2021
Saturday, September 11, 2021
Friday, September 10, 2021
Calling all dip buyers!
This is an entire week on the losing side unless our dip buyers come to rescue.
Peak sellers arrived instead.
Thursday, September 9, 2021
Safety days at the market
Oil is still stuck even though the ten year yield barely holds at 1.3. This means the dollar is still up, mainly emerging markets taking it safe after the China default. yet we still get high inflation readings.
This chart has to be reconciled, sooner or later. Even domestic natural gas is rising which is an artifact of fracking.
Larry got egged
More drone
DUBA
The US Navy’s Mideast-based 5th Fleet said on Wednesday it will launch a new task force that incorporates airborne, sailing and underwater drones after years of maritime attacks linked to ongoing tensions with Iran.
Navy officials refused to identify which systems they would introduce from Bahrain. However, they promised the coming months would see the drones stretch their capabilities across a region of chokepoints crucial to both global energy supplies and worldwide shipping
Navy figuring out that huge aircraft carriers are useless.
Wednesday, September 8, 2021
Rand Paul's doctorly advice on immunity was full of crap
She wants her pals to burn more oil an your pals to burn less
AOC is back with more of her petulant threats to kill the infrastructure bill if she does not get here way on climate change.
This has nothing to do with Green, most of these proposals are about subsidizing oil consumption for the favored group.
Yields up to 1.37 and rising, oil stable
It is one or the other. Either we pay a lot more for domestic oil, or yields rise. One way or the other we will pay for the inflation.
Pretty sure the federal Reserve is behind this stunt
Monday, September 6, 2021
“The Canterbury Tales” being banned
Already planning another fiasco
Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-SC) predicted Sunday that the United States will re-invade Afghanistan in the future.
“They’re going to give safe haven to Al Qaeda who has ambitions to drive us out of the Mid East writ large and attack us because of our way of life,” Graham said in an interview with BBC News. “We will be going back into Afghanistan as we went back into Iraq and Syria.”
Oil, yields and dollar
Oil is still not holding above 70, that seems to be a barrier
Ten year yields now at 1.34 and dollar robust. I dunno how long this can hold.
Against whom will they rebel?
Brazil on Edge as Bolsonaro Tells His Base to Take to the Streets
I think Bolsonaro is the king in charge, the only one to rebel against.
Shut up and dig for oil
Reason Mag gets a big clue
Saturday, September 4, 2021
Comcast is permanently incompetent
Likely a common problem for companies with subscription services. No need to go into details, not worth it. Take my word for it.
Trumpsters on the offensive
God Bless prop 13
Illinois Policy:Patricia Hill grew up in Chicago’s Hyde Park neighborhood dreaming of one day owning a home. She and her husband accomplished that dream in 2003 when they moved to the suburb of Matteson to raise their two daughters. They bought a two-story home in a quiet neighborhood for $315,000. Her property taxes were $7,800 for 2004.
But Hill’s home is now worth less than she paid for it back in ’03. Meanwhile, her property taxes have done anything but decline. She now pays nearly $10,000 in property taxes.
Federal tax receipts, one for one with inflation
Yes, I noticed this a while ago, but looked again after the recent price hikes.
I can guess here, the Federales have all the choice tax base. Now Congress is stuck with making revenue sharing work.
Revenue sharing may not be possible with the econs going beserk about it. Something has to give.
Polls indicate we are stuck with Gavin
Out here in California. No, I did not vote, or I voted do not care.
Natural gas threatens petrodollar?
Global Gas Price Surge Threatens to Dent the Economic Recovery
Thursday, September 2, 2021
The same government that subsidizes public sector pensions
As California burns, anger and pointed questions for caretaker of its vast forests
The USDA Forest Service oversees 20 million acres in California. Are they doing enough to stop wildfire danger?
When was the last time California politicos went begging the Feds for something other than pension bailouts?
You mean the Federal Department of Central Banking?
Pelosi tried cheating on a revenue sharing negotiation
Manchin’s comments come as Democratic leaders and committee chairs in the Senate and House are working out the specifics of the economic package, with a goal of moving it through Congress in the weeks after lawmakers return from an extended August recess. Manchin is a linchpin vote because Republicans are united in opposition. All members of the Senate Democratic caucus would have to back the measure in order for it to get the 51 votes needed to pass, with Vice President Kamala Harris providing the tie-breaking vote.
The spending package also is facing obstacles in the House. Democrats can only afford three defections in that chamber if Republicans are united in opposition, and some moderate Democrats also are balking at the size of the package being drawn up. -Bloomberg
This is a long standing problem with Pelosi since a year ago. She is not advised that the stimulations are all about revenue sharing, and has not thought this thing through. We have delusional econs claiming crap about infrastructure and re-using words not related to the real task. Then came the earmarks, putting a lie to all the crap about infrastructure, this is plain cash advances to the states.
Now Pelosi and the progressives are confused, they actually bought into the cap about infrastructure. Or at least they thought the narrative would sneak them by. Too late, we done figured this out.
Not fear of chaos but the resignation of chaos
The effort to recall Gov. Gavin Newsom is struggling, new California poll shows
Most likely California voters are opposed to the Republican-led recall effort against Gov. Gavin Newsom and a growing number fear the consequences of removing him from office with a hard-right conservative best positioned to take his place, according to new poll by the nonpartisan Public Policy Institute of California.
For most voters, it is too late, the chaos has arrived, who cares.
Oil will break 70 soon
There i light general oil price inflation. But overall oil prices are at 2007 levels.
Th dollar should drop a bit but today the dollar is up, I hear. No evidence that the petrodollar standard is broken.