Thursday, October 17, 2019

Sudden stop?

This little-known recession indicator is now sending investors and consumers a warning

We have two measures of economic confidence. One emphasizes the personal issues, the other specifies the aggregate issues. At some point the mass thinks they are personally in trouble but everyone else is doing OK.  Right now everyone is down personally but thinks the economy is OK, a sign of impending demand shortfall, a sudden stop.

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