Sunday, March 13, 2016

New cars recycle into used cars

We have auto sales growth stabilizing, note that yearly growth has declined.  The dark green are the sub-prime borrowers, and about 1.4 of them will default and return a good car to the used car market.  We are going to get a regime change in the auto market with used cars competing for sales.  It will be a sudden stop, hopefully a short adjustment. If a stoppage happens this year, like next quarter, watch out; a lot of sudden stops happen at the end of the sequence.

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