Friday, September 2, 2016

The recession is missing in action



No recession bar yet?

The labor market is holding up, it appears anyway.  Job growth was lousy, but not a crash.  I see only two mass layoffs on the horizon,.  Even if the auto industry goes through a layoff, it should already be discounted.

It is a bit scary because behind the scenes, the baby boomer retirement may be more sudden than we expect.  In other words, I fear the unemployment rate may be a misleading indicator this time around

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