Tuesday, October 1, 2019

Ned couldn't twist the curve

Ned wanted to pay off that short term credit with his new found debt power. 

We would think he could raise the ten year near 2% and lower the short term from 2%. Instead, all the yields have fallen. A bad sign, somewhere, a sign of deflation popping  up soon. I am thinking the bond market is betting doldrums slow sub 2% growth for a few quarters at least. A bounce into deflation, perhaps, with barely positive growth but no real blue bar. This has become the positive bet, trade is the longer term issue now.

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