Takre real GDP at the start of each presidency. Obama started at -4% growth, that is negative growth inherited from the previous Republican.
Then Trump started with slightly under 2% growth, right where he previous democrat left it. Trump got it to peak for a quarterat 3% andit has been all down hill after that.
My suggestion to bonehead chart readers is one chart you will lose at: Repubicans doing well with the economy. It is not there, not anywhere unless you go way back to the LBJ nightmare.
Saturday, February 22, 2020
Targeting the Fed tax
What is the default rate for US federal government? About a third of debt every forty years is a good number. Less than a point a year. Target that, write off debt if the default rate is too low. That results in the general formula for a monopsony currency bank, a trend that generates direct inflation for gains to the owner.
The contract has a time limit, forcing renegotiation. Thus Congress incentivized to estimate losses, past and future. We are creating a inscribed axis, the default axis. The central bank has more freedom to operate a standard S&L on the front end, all traders know the future carries defaults In the front end, both savers and borrowers are approximately equally at risk for failing to account for defaults..
The contract has a time limit, forcing renegotiation. Thus Congress incentivized to estimate losses, past and future. We are creating a inscribed axis, the default axis. The central bank has more freedom to operate a standard S&L on the front end, all traders know the future carries defaults In the front end, both savers and borrowers are approximately equally at risk for failing to account for defaults..
Friday, February 21, 2020
You're not posthumous
Actor-director Clint Eastwood, 89, weighs in on Bloomberg, Trump, #MeToo and the dispute over a reporter’s depiction in his latest film.
Kirk did it right.
Deliver your vote on your death bed, translated by a close family member. Your vote counts more then some old washed up cowboy actor.
Commies in cahoots?
RUSSIA TRYING TO HELP BERNIE CAMPAIGN
Not our normal Red Scare with the secret take over. More like dropping one moist turd upon a humongous shit pile.
Oil prices were too high in the past
That is a deflationary force telling us that oil prices haven't changed since the 2008 crash. All that 1.5% inflation we recorded was fake.
Fracking changed the situation a bit and this looks like a fracking cycle to me. Frackers over responded to the volatile oil situation. They are now living on the edge of sustainability.
I matters not, our fine theorems got Blacked Swanned and we are on to studying the plague cycles since 1600. The question is the relationships among vaccines, immunities, quarantines and the mass media.
Fracking changed the situation a bit and this looks like a fracking cycle to me. Frackers over responded to the volatile oil situation. They are now living on the edge of sustainability.
I matters not, our fine theorems got Blacked Swanned and we are on to studying the plague cycles since 1600. The question is the relationships among vaccines, immunities, quarantines and the mass media.
20,000 bed hospital complexes
CA Governor: No Really, Let’s Allow Doctors To Write Prescriptions For Houses
The equilibrium combination of total healthcare. One single national transfer transaction. When you fail in Illinois the local doctor there prescribes a two year stay in a UCLA condo.
I think Milton Kenes would approve.
Thursday, February 20, 2020
The war under the war
Houthi Missiles Target Aramco Facility Just After Pompeo Arrives In Saudi Arabia
Below this rocket war is an evolving UAV war, low cost flying bomber attacking the patriot radar and defense UAV engaging in air to air combat. It is a paradox and the safest war of all, each side is incentivized to keep expensive equipment and people away from the war zone, which yields to the answer, why not. The war is more inexpensive than the hassle of explaining it, like a sport.
He showed up at the debates, in the top three
Wounded but defiant, Bloomberg promises to keep fighting
Insures he is there to the end, he is legitimate.
But he is making a good point to remember, Trump is kind of nutty. The return n his investment, from last year, was arbitrage winnings betting Trump is nutty.His campaign is a hedge, betting against the odds of another year of Trump nutty. Bloomberg wins either way.
Given a prime number M
What is the most efficient prime one step below. Invert the problem, predict the previous, not the next prime. Define efficient as transaction counts in assembling a set. Make is a constricted flow, optimum aggregation of transaction flow.
Exactly
Cryptocurrency, ‘decentralized finance,’ and the sweet promise of 8% interest
In this condition, the no arbitrage condition cam be maintained, automatically, via algorithm. They really just solve the hyperbolic dynamic conditions, with fractional approximation on a necessary basis needed to stay under error bound.
As an automated bank, the ad revenue is going o skyrocket, you are the new google. The bank carries market making risk but that is now a controlled, small number.
There is absolutely no reason Bitcoins cannot have their own S%L, and the run cost always stepwise limited to about an eight of price variation.
This is, at bottom, a congestion management problem, constricted flow.
In fact, I suspect the same theories are behind the proof of turbulent flow conditions, just recently announce, the same principle of gravity as an emergent property, the hologram effect, makes the money velocity equations work.
Central banks can operate a triple entry accounting system, hire an abstract algebra girl. Buty the main issue is to make the siegniorage tax betable. That makes the partial and occasional default priceable, removes the cycles, lets you balance the generational an seigniorage cycle so they balance each other. We cannot wait for an insider committee to suddenly set those fees. You still meet all your boundary conditions, but the opportunies to fake it are gone, we just live in partial rage.
Good morning. The U.S. economy may be going gangbusters, but for those looking for a return on their savings, the picture is less pretty: Even so-called high yield savings accounts offer a pittance in interest—Goldman Sachs’ Marcus product, for instance, currently offers a measly 1.7%.For the mathematicians out there, the shadow bank operates on the lowest rung of the Markov Tree. They are up against central bankers who do not understand the triple entry accounting needed to operate a rung or two up the tree.
Those higher interest rates are possible, DeFi boosters say, because there is no bank or other middleman to profit off consumer deposits. Instead, the system relies on pairing individual borrowers and lenders who rely on automated “smart contracts” to administer loans and pay out interest.
In this condition, the no arbitrage condition cam be maintained, automatically, via algorithm. They really just solve the hyperbolic dynamic conditions, with fractional approximation on a necessary basis needed to stay under error bound.
As an automated bank, the ad revenue is going o skyrocket, you are the new google. The bank carries market making risk but that is now a controlled, small number.
There is absolutely no reason Bitcoins cannot have their own S%L, and the run cost always stepwise limited to about an eight of price variation.
This is, at bottom, a congestion management problem, constricted flow.
In fact, I suspect the same theories are behind the proof of turbulent flow conditions, just recently announce, the same principle of gravity as an emergent property, the hologram effect, makes the money velocity equations work.
Central banks can operate a triple entry accounting system, hire an abstract algebra girl. Buty the main issue is to make the siegniorage tax betable. That makes the partial and occasional default priceable, removes the cycles, lets you balance the generational an seigniorage cycle so they balance each other. We cannot wait for an insider committee to suddenly set those fees. You still meet all your boundary conditions, but the opportunies to fake it are gone, we just live in partial rage.
Treasury curve getting more inverted, not less
Ten year yield minus cash rate makes 5 points to the negatory.
How does his make central banks equilibriated? I missed that part, must be one of those secret, complex expectation things.
How does his make central banks equilibriated? I missed that part, must be one of those secret, complex expectation things.
Trump trading troops for hotels
'Hit with a truck' - How Iran's missiles inflicted brain injury on U.S. troops
American kids need to exit the military ASAP, they are not safe and will not be safe util this shit gets sorted out. Having a dumbshit military staff does not help.
(Reuters) - In the wee hours of Jan. 8, Tehran retaliated over the U.S. killing of Iran’s most powerful general by bombarding the al-Asad air base in Iraq. Among the 2,000 troops stationed there was U.S. Army Specialist Kimo Keltz, who recalls hearing a missile whistling through the sky as he lay on the deck of a guard tower. The explosion lifted his body - in full armor - an inch or two off the floor.Our commander in chief suddenly changing sides in the war and military brass to stupid to inform field commanders. All this so his snot nosed son-in-law can get another hotel. Pretty sick if you ask me.
Keltz says he thought he had escaped with little more than a mild headache. Initial assessments around the base found no serious injuries or deaths from the attack. U.S. President Donald Trump tweeted, “All is well!”
The next day was different.
“My head kinda felt like I got hit with a truck,” Keltz told Reuters in an interview from al-Asad air base in Iraq’s western Anbar desert. “My stomach was grinding.”
Keltz, who said he had concussion symptoms for days, is among 109 soldiers diagnosed with traumatic brain injuries in the wake of last month’s attack, a figure that has steadily risen as more troops report symptoms and get medical screening.
American kids need to exit the military ASAP, they are not safe and will not be safe util this shit gets sorted out. Having a dumbshit military staff does not help.
The primary dealer system
To Tackle Inequality, We Need To Start Talking About Where Wealth Comes From
And, Yives Smith, you and Krugman are two of the most active supporters of the primary dealer system. Your philosophy of governance is riddled with arbitrage moments and we pay billions to the wealthy to resolve those contradictions.
Welcome to a new Vietnam fiasco
Turkey says 2 of its soldiers killed in airstrike in Syria
Offer a hotel to Trump's son in law and Trump will gladly sacrifice our troops in the fiasco.
A properly defined central bank can compete against the shadow banker
Is Inflation Targeting the Best We Can Do?
But we cannot get to that point until our economists understand pure shadow banking.
The Fed taxes us, arbitrarily as the government needs money. The central banks need to expose the central bank tax to the market, so that extra tax does not cause cycles. This is a 500 year old problem. It was solved a few years ago, finally, but central bankers are institutionally stuck, they cannot learn.
Better then the Solow growth model
I would just send economics students to a semester of linear differential equations.
Then in economics class the professor can show the kids how quantization effects make linear equilibrium impossible, but approximate. Then they will know why DSGE systems are onloy good for two quarters in self sampled systems. Dump the Godot process.
Then in economics class the professor can show the kids how quantization effects make linear equilibrium impossible, but approximate. Then they will know why DSGE systems are onloy good for two quarters in self sampled systems. Dump the Godot process.
Useless
In Suprise Flip, Turkey Asks US For Patriot Missiles "To Deter" Russia In Idlib
Iranian kids with their low cost UAVs have been blowing up Patriot systems for some time. The Russian systems are subject to the same problem.
What all the armies are looking for is autonomous air to air combat UAVs, an they are getting them at a rapid clip.
The nature of war has changed. If you are an army like the US army then most of your effort is built around protecting legacy systems to cover huge development costs. The best protection for Patriots, F22s and carriers is to park them in the US an keep them there. Without these legacy system the chances of winning in battle go up, not down.
Wednesday, February 19, 2020
I have never seen a republican worry about the debt
Mulvaney calls out GOP for being 'a lot less interested' in deficits under Trump than Obama: report
Acting White House chief of staff Mick Mulvaney called out Republicans for being “a lot less interested” in deficits under President Trump than when former President Obama was in office, The Washington Post reported.Not officially, and that is regardless of who is in the White House. I have never seen any Repub president worry about the debt. I have seen a horde of traders, like Mulvaney, make a lot of dough from the Repub debt machine.
Mulvaney spoke at the Oxford Union and said that the GOP is “very interested in deficits when there is a Democrat in the White House,” according to audio from the speech obtained by the Post.
"The worse thing in the whole world is deficits when Barack Obama was the president,” he said. “Then Donald Trump became president, and we’re a lot less interested as a party.”
He has been creating it his entire career
California governor makes homelessness top issue in 2020
What new idea does a consistently ignorant politician have to solve the failed Hispanic state problem? His solutions, successful businesses, are exiting the state as fast as possible trying to avoid the Iliinois fate.
I doubt it
Turkey Threatens "Imminent" Large Scale Invasion Of Idlib To Halt Syrian-Russian Advance
I am primarily guessing. This seems like a disaster, and results in our 4500 troops being shot to hell. Trump cannot be that stupid to let this happen.
We need more dead movie stars
'Mike can get it done': Michael Douglas claims father used dying words to endorse Bloomberg
Kill off another four or five and Bloomberg is in.
Bad for our mental health
How to live stream tonight’s 2020 Democratic debate
You have to be devoid of rationality to get through the nonsense.
No, Syria is Trump's Vietnam
Israel To Step Up "Offensive Action" - Will Turn Syria Into "Iranian Vietnam": Israeli Defense Chief
And I am sure the Israelis are pretty good at fooling the Trump family. I suggest individual soldiers quite the American army ASAP. otherwise dumbshit senators, like Tom Cotton, we be getting American soldiers shot up for the next ten years.
Your daddy had Alzheimer's
Reagan Daughter Trashes Trump in Daily Beast
Being brainless at least makes him better than Trump, I will admit that.
TONY SHAFFER, illiterate dunce at the Hill
Donald Trump is ending endless war
Not quite, Tony, if you try reading the news. Trump just declared war on three Middle East nations, Iraq, Syria and Iran, who all together have deployed 1.5 million troops across the battle ground, aligned against our 4,000 troops now hiding in caves in Iraq.
Our commanders on the ground, being almost as dense as Tony, send out a patrol the next day to find them surrounded by one of the Syrian armies and the yanks would have been shot to the ground if the Russians had not intervened to defuse the situation. The Russians? Odd, Trump just declared war on them too. Troops in Iraq have no where to go, they are hiding in caves can't go anywhere withi8u fear of a drone, truck bomb or rocket. Trump got about a hundred of them blown out of their army base.
I think The Hill should require literacy tests to eliminate bonehead like Tont Shafer. And, by the way, Trump is likely to become splatted if he goes anywhere other than a secure cave. No nation in the world is going to take the risk of inviting Trump only to end up with a mess of trump blubber spread over their streets, and, by the way, most of us could care less he caused his own problems. Taxpayers have no plan to join his new Vietnam fiasco.
President Trump promised to end the reckless foreign intervention of the United States over the past two decades, and he is keeping that promise. Reports indicate that he is closer than ever to fulfilling this by bringing a satisfactory end to the longest war in American history. After years of negotiations, the Taliban appears on the verge of signing an accord that would pave the way for a reduction of hostilities, a settlement on the future of Afghanistan, and a withdrawal of American troops.
Not quite, Tony, if you try reading the news. Trump just declared war on three Middle East nations, Iraq, Syria and Iran, who all together have deployed 1.5 million troops across the battle ground, aligned against our 4,000 troops now hiding in caves in Iraq.
Our commanders on the ground, being almost as dense as Tony, send out a patrol the next day to find them surrounded by one of the Syrian armies and the yanks would have been shot to the ground if the Russians had not intervened to defuse the situation. The Russians? Odd, Trump just declared war on them too. Troops in Iraq have no where to go, they are hiding in caves can't go anywhere withi8u fear of a drone, truck bomb or rocket. Trump got about a hundred of them blown out of their army base.
I think The Hill should require literacy tests to eliminate bonehead like Tont Shafer. And, by the way, Trump is likely to become splatted if he goes anywhere other than a secure cave. No nation in the world is going to take the risk of inviting Trump only to end up with a mess of trump blubber spread over their streets, and, by the way, most of us could care less he caused his own problems. Taxpayers have no plan to join his new Vietnam fiasco.
Failed Hispanic state in action
California Politicians Double Down on Encouraging People To Live in Wildfire-Prone Areas
The Renew California legislation introduced yesterday would force insurance companies to renew insurance policies in wildfire zones.Insurance companies used to bail out the previous failed state actions. Insurance companies are exiting the scene, the remaining ones raising rates to unaffordable. Our failed Hispanic legislators completely clueless, and evidently remaining clueless.
Conservative economics never existed
The Return of Conservative Economics
I can't find where it existed, at least not since the Civil War. I doubt conservatives will escape their own socialism since they never proposed an alternative.
How does softwre hack a rotating spindle?
Ransomware Shuts Gas Compressor for 2 Days in Latest Attack Bloomberg
No, the ransomware did not shut the spindle down, instead dense programmers installed useless software to turn the machine off and on when a simple switch worked just find.
No, the ransomware did not shut the spindle down, instead dense programmers installed useless software to turn the machine off and on when a simple switch worked just find.
Trump and Rush had phone sex
Rush Limbaugh: Trump Told Me Not To Apologize For Pete Buttigieg Remarks
And, naturally, Rush cannot think for himself. The guy is dense, likely dumber than that Hannity guy; both of them, illiterate sexual deviants and used car salesmen; embarrassments to America.
No, Mr. Sullum, you have it wrong
Virginia's Thwarted 'Assault Firearm' Ban Illustrates the Folly of Trying to Distinguish Between Good and Evil Guns
The paradox is that this illustrates the need for a regulated militia, which is empowered to hold assault weapons. So take the requirement for a regulated militias, add to that th illegality of a government taking in the fourth and you get the complexity, easily resolved. The regulated militia needs the private sector to manufacture and distribute assault weapons.
I have the right to hire a regulated militia, with assault weapons, as defined by regulated militia. And we have private regulated militia, licensed by the second amendment to hunt down NRA nuts and extinguish them. My right, guaranteed by the Second.
I have the right to hire a regulated militia, with assault weapons, as defined by regulated militia. And we have private regulated militia, licensed by the second amendment to hunt down NRA nuts and extinguish them. My right, guaranteed by the Second.
So, you see, the first part of the second is what I need to defend myself against NRA nuts, the second amendment gives me the right to hunt them down, drive them into the woods, out of sight of civilized people. We use the second amendment to shoot Walmart mass killers, we use it to kill off church shooting NRA nuts, we use the second amendment to hide snipers around the cabins of NRA nuts. We use it to defend against lunatic politicians like Rick Scott.
So identifying the good assault weapons is easy. They are the weapons outside the door of NRA nuts, pointing at NRA nuts, ready to shoot NRA nuts; professional killers hired by normal folks to drive NRA nuts out of town. We are regulated and trained, as you can see from all the NRA nuts blowing their brains out as we surround them.
Tuesday, February 18, 2020
Lower velocity, Mish
The turn of the calendar didn’t leave the bad news in 2019, as the Cass Freight Index showed continued weakness in the U.S. freight market. Both the shipments and expenditures components of the Cass Freight Index worsened sequentially and showed decelerating y/y growth. According to the broader stock market levels, there is still optimism out there, but the freight trends have yet to turn. And the Covid-19 coronavirus case count continues to grow, creating uncertainty around containment and eventual impact on global supply chains. Some Chinese factories resumed operation this past week, but they are still not close to 100% production levels. Others have pushed re-opening back to March 1.Velocity is shipments per time period, and it has been dropping and still likely dropping. This also means, by the way, any Euler assumptions are out the window, we are ill sampled. It also means retail transactions are dropping, folks save up and buy in one large transaction rather than using shared inventory over multiple transactions.
We have become simple mining economy. We have a mismatch, Mr. Solow is not equilibriating within the smaller error bounds of the past. We have been doing this since the Clinton administration and always end up paying yesterdays higher interest rates for today's lower transaction rate. We are pretending to be manufacturing economy.
We are ending up with gaps in monetary coverage, like no one noticed the Obama cycle ended in 2016, rates have finished their prior Fed cycle and we are up and running a new cycle.. And we are in the new cycle with a contracted economy as indicated by the Treasury curve.
We are, or rather, we have, frigged ourselves, we are at default time and AOC better bring her Milton Kenes to meetup.
There is a weightier issue
New York Times reporter Katie Rogers used the wedding of White House immigration advisor Stephen Miller to Katie Waldman, press secretary to Vice President Mike Pence, to show Trump staff as purposefully isolating themselves from D.C. society in Tuesday’s “Pairing Off in Trump’s Political Bunker.”No one wants to be any where around when the Iranian kids splat Trump blubber with the Dollar Tree foam planes. Seriously, the guy is a walking bag of exploding blubber, and everyone expects it to happen, including he NSA who specifically warned him of the problem.
That strange insensitive headline begs a question Rogers doesn’t directly answer: Why are Trump staffers trapped in the “bunker” in the first place?
Now I have my enemies, out to get me, but I am not some wig hatted president of the USA, he is. And he put himself in real danger and we do not want a bunch of Hillbilly senators clamoring for war when he gets splatted.
The solution is to put the guy in a cave, for the duration. DARPA may yet find a defense, but it is not here and now.
Trump is a sexual deviant
Buttigieg blasts Trump: My marriage never involved ‘hush money’
Evidently Stormy threatened to reveal the tiny little Trump penie, a family trait I hear. In normal times the Trump family would be in the hills, isolated, eating fentanyl and sucking on steel pipes.
Duterte: Describing the process of being dutido
If Duterte Wants Us Out, Let's Go
Duter - to give a wedgie
as in:
Yo te duto. I yank your underpants.
Los filipinos dutieron a Trump. - The filipinos gave Trump a wedgie.
If you gots to get grammared, I'm your guy.
Trump, the noun and verb, now merged
AP source: Barr tells people he might quit over Trump tweets
To be Trumped, says Merriam:
: to get the better of : OVERRIDE where ambition invariably trumps loyaltyEtymology will be confused for centuries.
The Jerusalem Post goes there
The lead headline. Forget the latest news that caused this, the real point is that the Jerusalem Post went there.
Boomers who remember the Vietnam fiasco
Bloomberg is getting a serious look from suburban Democrats who just want to beat Trump
We have a nutty LBJ in the White house, urged on by a bunch of Hillbilly senators without a clue. Booners know the disaster that awaits, their parents pulled the same stupid stunt.
Seccesionists are back
So Long, Oregon – Conservatives Plan Idaho Escape
What do you do when your state is controlled by Democrats whose laws are way too liberal for your taste? And moving out of state is not an option or a preference? Well, if you’re an Oregonian, the solution may be to remap state boundaries and join up with a neighbor who’s a bit more conservative. At least, that’s the plan underway for the group Move Oregon’s Border for a Greater Idaho.
Already, the movement has achieved initial approval from two counties. The plan is to get enough signatures to put the proposal on the November ballot. Mike McCarter, one of the main petitioners, said some Oregon residents are getting fed up with their state’s too-liberal lawmakers and policies. Democrats control both branches of the state legislature and the governor’s office, making it difficult for rural conservatives to have a say in the political arena. McCarter said in a press release:
“Rural counties have become increasingly outraged by laws coming out of the Oregon Legislature that threaten our livelihoods, our industries, our wallet, our gun rights, and our values. We tried voting those legislators out, but rural Oregon is outnumbered and our voices are now ignored. This is our last resort.”
Other way around Barry
Paul Krugman on Making Wonkery Accessible to the Public
The public executes the wonkery., You are are confused, Barry. The issue issue how did all the Krugman wonkery get derived from some simple action on the part of agents. The answer is Krugman is creating wonkery out of thin air.
Krugman creates the non-existent 'liquid' homo economicus so that he can pretend to theorems that never existed. The true principle of economics is to dump the wonkery and make it simple. Pretending to wonkery makes the economicus look smart when in reality is is faking the conditions to prove his/her ability in simple Euler differential equations. The economist, and in Barry's case, the investment adviser seem wonkish, but it is mostly a fake needed to get clicks and clients.
Almost all the charts on Fred, from 1980 until today show one thing, the economy has never been wonkish, it is never meets the Euler conditions and almost all the so called wonkish theories are absolutely false.
The simple truth, we agents avoid long lines and that pretty much sums up the theory. Having discovered this simple fact we now have an industry rapidly replacing the Krugman and Ritholtz. We have google pattern matching techniques which repeatedly out perform Barry because the bots are not stuck having to reverse engineer the false assumptions of Barry.
Almost all the charts on Fred, from 1980 until today show one thing, the economy has never been wonkish, it is never meets the Euler conditions and almost all the so called wonkish theories are absolutely false.
The simple truth, we agents avoid long lines and that pretty much sums up the theory. Having discovered this simple fact we now have an industry rapidly replacing the Krugman and Ritholtz. We have google pattern matching techniques which repeatedly out perform Barry because the bots are not stuck having to reverse engineer the false assumptions of Barry.
Separate but unequal
‘It’s kind of like a tough balancing act’
This is a dispute between white people and the others. The white kids can study STEM on line, and let the campus 'others' can study the culture of large room populated with 'others'. Then white people can get on with their lives, the ';others' can establish the science of people in large rooms.
Numerous students at the University of Virginia recently affirmed in on-camera interviews that the school’s multicultural center, lately the site of a contentious incident in which a young woman publicly criticized white students for studying there, should largely remain a space for non-white community members.
It is OK Mr. Pompous, I undesignated him
“This Guy Is Designated By The United States”: Pompeo Blasts Senate Dems Over Zarif Meeting
At this point, few of us are obeying a bunch of worthless pronouncements from Trump.
The sudden plunge in jobs offered?
Dallas Fed's Kaplan: US economy 'likely at or past' full employment
And this chart, my favorite:
We see that we just got hit with a doubling of the seigniorage tax. That tax makes retail banking unaffordable, hence the record rates on personal credit.
Primary dealers are not funding government, they are passing the tax down the line. It will take a recession to reduce that tax. Meanwhile the central bank cannot measure shit with this level of mismatch. You screwed up Mr. Kaplan, you have no reverse path you have engineered an irreversible, lossy compression of the pricing structure. The arrow of entropy is not reversible. We are now an economy of oil drilling and fracking.
Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan says that he views the labor market as “likely at or past” full employment, hinting that Kaplan may see a weaker case for lowering interest rates.
In an essay published Tuesday, Kaplan wrote that he still views the current level of interest rates as “roughly appropriate” for the U.S. economy. He added that he projects no rate changes through the end of 2020.
Kaplan said he expects “solid growth” for the year and projects the headline unemployment rate ticking down from 3.6% back to 3.5%. Kaplan also pointed to a labor force participation rate of 63.4%, the highest level since June 2013.
And this chart, my favorite:
We see that we just got hit with a doubling of the seigniorage tax. That tax makes retail banking unaffordable, hence the record rates on personal credit.
Primary dealers are not funding government, they are passing the tax down the line. It will take a recession to reduce that tax. Meanwhile the central bank cannot measure shit with this level of mismatch. You screwed up Mr. Kaplan, you have no reverse path you have engineered an irreversible, lossy compression of the pricing structure. The arrow of entropy is not reversible. We are now an economy of oil drilling and fracking.
About 20 more poiints of IQ
Newt: Bloomberg Should Not Be Underestimated
Former New York City Mayor Mike Bloomberg, who has qualified for Wednesday night's debate in Las Vegas, should not be underestimated, ex-House Speaker Newt Gingrich warned Tuesday.We have a batch of sever stupid in the White House. Adding Newts support mostly subtracts from the Trump family IQ.
"He is very professional," Gingrich told Fox News' "Fox and Friends." "He is very smart. He served as mayor of New York for 12 years and people thought overall he basically bought it the last time. He spent about $200 per vote, which is, I think, the all-time American record. But, nonetheless, he served for 12 years. It was a relatively corruption-free, relatively effective period in terms of the city's prosperity."
Seigniorage tax effect
HSBC to slash investment bank, 35,000 jobs in strategy overhaul
Krugman has no clue even though this is straight out of complete market theory. It is the law, the primary dealer law, the 14th amendment, mandated. There is no escape except Amazon and Walmart control transactions from imports to delivery, they're not subject to the tax, they essentially do their own banking. Hence we get less market share for the central banks and all central banking begins and ends with the primary dealers.
We can atully measure the loss of Fed mrket share:
This loss o velocity is the loss of transactions that have gone into shadow banking. Central banking market share peaked under Clinton. Technology then took over, shadow banking is much more efficient as Bezos has proved. The pricing error in dollar has increased by a third. This chart is leading to the same disruptive defaults that Nixon engineered, the Roosevelt engineered, and on down the line, backwards. The bots are defeating Krugman and the theory of Godot. Delong and his Solow theory is about 30% more defunct than twenty years ago. Nothing in Solow theory deals with Fed market share in any reasonable fashion and dollar pricing is far from meeting the Euler conditions. Brad just dragged his students through a useless exercise, Krugman still preaching the Godot theory. Krugman will be retired or dead and his Godot never arrived after a 40 year career. Delong will retire and never once will his Solow theory ever reach a conclusion.
HONG KONG/LONDON (Reuters) - HSBC Holdings PLC (HSBA.L) said on Tuesday it would shed $100 billion in assets, shrink its investment bank and revamp its U.S. and European businesses in a drastic overhaul that will mean 35,000 jobs cut over three years.The central bankers are taxing agents.
Krugman has no clue even though this is straight out of complete market theory. It is the law, the primary dealer law, the 14th amendment, mandated. There is no escape except Amazon and Walmart control transactions from imports to delivery, they're not subject to the tax, they essentially do their own banking. Hence we get less market share for the central banks and all central banking begins and ends with the primary dealers.
We can atully measure the loss of Fed mrket share:
This loss o velocity is the loss of transactions that have gone into shadow banking. Central banking market share peaked under Clinton. Technology then took over, shadow banking is much more efficient as Bezos has proved. The pricing error in dollar has increased by a third. This chart is leading to the same disruptive defaults that Nixon engineered, the Roosevelt engineered, and on down the line, backwards. The bots are defeating Krugman and the theory of Godot. Delong and his Solow theory is about 30% more defunct than twenty years ago. Nothing in Solow theory deals with Fed market share in any reasonable fashion and dollar pricing is far from meeting the Euler conditions. Brad just dragged his students through a useless exercise, Krugman still preaching the Godot theory. Krugman will be retired or dead and his Godot never arrived after a 40 year career. Delong will retire and never once will his Solow theory ever reach a conclusion.
Monday, February 17, 2020
Curve gone negative
By a point from the one year to the ten year. The siegniorage tax as taken a permanent jump up, consumer debt is as expensive as it has ever been.
If we are an oil producing economy then we have to live within our means, the Fed, ultimately taxes us to make that happen.
If we are an oil producing economy then we have to live within our means, the Fed, ultimately taxes us to make that happen.
Imagine this harmless scenario
We get one of the hobbyist with the initial guidance system in his $100 Dollar Tree foam aircraft.
He lets the thing go fly around an outdoor Trump rally. Imagine the uproar as SS agents have to usher this lard ball out of the stadium, the headlines, the hassle, the problem, how to protect the nutcase.
What is the risk to some kid who executed the stunt.
The aircraft is completely untracable, built from raw foam and mail order electric prop. The entire presidential race takes a turn, Repub hillbillies senators will have to go undercover for quite some time, hey are secondary targets. No one has a solution, no one has thought this out except me and the NSA. The NSA has been hopelessly contradicted on digital security. People looking for blame only find the Trump, the ultimate cause of the problem.
Ort another scenario. News photos appear, from above the spot where Trump does is blubbering. What does the secret serve do? They blundered, they fucked up and we have to redo presidential security. Who created this mess? mostly dumbshit Hillbilly senators, not understanding much of this at all. It is all now a night mare, a nightmare of having little brains back in the Swamp, a massive government failure.
He lets the thing go fly around an outdoor Trump rally. Imagine the uproar as SS agents have to usher this lard ball out of the stadium, the headlines, the hassle, the problem, how to protect the nutcase.
What is the risk to some kid who executed the stunt.
The aircraft is completely untracable, built from raw foam and mail order electric prop. The entire presidential race takes a turn, Repub hillbillies senators will have to go undercover for quite some time, hey are secondary targets. No one has a solution, no one has thought this out except me and the NSA. The NSA has been hopelessly contradicted on digital security. People looking for blame only find the Trump, the ultimate cause of the problem.
Ort another scenario. News photos appear, from above the spot where Trump does is blubbering. What does the secret serve do? They blundered, they fucked up and we have to redo presidential security. Who created this mess? mostly dumbshit Hillbilly senators, not understanding much of this at all. It is all now a night mare, a nightmare of having little brains back in the Swamp, a massive government failure.
Who wants to expose Trump blubber to Iranian kids?
Twitter defines “sensitive content” as something that might contain “violence or nudity.” So why did a photo of a Nascar racer and the president get flagged by the platform as potentially sensitive content?My thoughts on the Daytona thing is when will the Iranians kids splatter Trump blubber across the race track with their home made drones, exactly as the NSA warned Trump, and family before the drone war.
Wait until we get photos of that bag of Trump lardo from the thousands of unlicensed flying bots. This is what happened to out Navy admirals. The started seeing pictures of billion dollar aircraft carriers taken over head by unknown drones. At that point the navy got the carriers the hell out of the gulf.
Now we have the same problem ever since Trump started the drone wars. He really cannot be outside, we really cannot show photos of him outside. The Iranian kids plan to splat Trump blubber and the rest of us really don't care and we end up with a bunch of idiot Hillbilly senators clamoring for war.
We do not need that. The NSA needs to drag that nut into a cave and keep him there until someone can figure out how to undo his mess. Who wants to go scrape Trump blubber off the street, it smells, it is messy, and sticky stuff. And none of us had anything to do with this crap, it was the Trump family, let them scrape the Trump blubber, leave the rest of us out of it.
I doubt even our military cares much ever since Trump got those soldiers blown up in the army base. The general idea being, just leave the Trump blubber where it splatted.
James Woods seems a bit dense to me
James cannot underestand charts, like he missed high school.
His claim on repubs does not stand the test of time. Reagan immediately caused a large recession in 1982, then Bush the senior caused another. Then Clinton caused continual, high growth and his recession actually got revised away, then that little Bush caused a major crash. Note, no Obama recession after eight years? No repub has accomplished that feat. Growth is now less than 2%. All the serious recessions caused by bonehead repubs.
But the key is recessions, repubs always, 100% of the time, causes recessions, Dems never. quite a record and indicative of James Woods idiocy.
His claim on repubs does not stand the test of time. Reagan immediately caused a large recession in 1982, then Bush the senior caused another. Then Clinton caused continual, high growth and his recession actually got revised away, then that little Bush caused a major crash. Note, no Obama recession after eight years? No repub has accomplished that feat. Growth is now less than 2%. All the serious recessions caused by bonehead repubs.
But the key is recessions, repubs always, 100% of the time, causes recessions, Dems never. quite a record and indicative of James Woods idiocy.
Rick Scott won't be organizing mass shootings any more
Florida’s “Red Flag” Law Has Led To Massive Gun Confiscation Numbers
Did Florida parents discover that shooting their own children is not good?
The governor of Texas can take up the slack, he is a big fan of mass shootings.
The governor of Texas can take up the slack, he is a big fan of mass shootings.
Instead of approving urban crime?
Minnesota House GOP proposes crackdown on urban crime
Trying to envision what they did before they discovered urban crime.
Dems are quite dense
On The Trail: Democrats plan to hammer Trump on Social Security, Medicare
Dingbats like Bernie missed the biggest news. Trump has declared war on Syria, Iraq and Iran, with 5,000 troops. This is leading to another Vietnam fiasco, wil likely cost us trillions. Same stupid repubs with no common sense and it has been costing us since the founding.
As long as these small states are producing bonehead senators, like Tom Cotton, then we are doomed.
Repeating performance, failed Hispanic state
Ex-CEO of Pemex Arrested for “Looting Mexico”
Now attention is switching to former President of Mexico Peña Nieto.And AMLO is repeating the same corruption. Mexican voters unable to get clues.
Iran fighting Trump's war
Meth Is Back And Flooding The Streets – And It’s Uglier Than Ever
Why not if Trump is assassinating generals. Using the California cartels to his us deep with chemical war. Trump is a bit dense, never made the connection.
Ignorant Arkansas hillbilly
Senator Cotton: China Refusing To Hand Over Evidence About Wuhan BioLab
Which is what China considers Tom Cotton. Every time that retard open his mouth he reveals the stupidity of Arkansas voters. Tom Cotton is an American embarrassment.We quit making chips a long time ago
White House Plans To Cut Off Sales Of American Chip Technology To China
We make algorithms, the Asian factories turn algorithms into silicon, which we then buy.
Failed Hispanic state in action
MEXICO CITY - One morning this week, Mexico City police received a radio call about an "aggression against a woman." Arriving at the scene - an apartment in a lower-middle-class neighborhood - they discovered a horror: the body of a 25-year-old who had been stabbed to death, cut up and partially skinned.
The killing of Ingrid Escamilla last weekend has gripped the nation and ignited a fresh round of protests over Mexico's high levels of violence against women.
On Friday, demonstrators hurled paint at the entrance to the National Palace to protest Escamilla's death and other "femicides" - murders of women because of their gender. Additional protests were planned for Friday evening and Saturday.
Sunday, February 16, 2020
I am going with butt prints Mr. French
How, Then, Should Christians Vote?
I hereby start the mass movement of Christians voting with their ass. Drop drawers and leave a butt print on the candidate of choice.
Read the article anyway, Dave French might have a better idea.
No, we end up with pure digital liquidity
Mapping out the Banking Elite’s Goal for a Cashless Monetary System –
Steve Guinness in part one of 'cashless' central banking. He will reveal his discoveries in part 2.
But I tell you now, we will get pure, digital bearer assets as long as contracts work. On the trader side, he has a bot, and that bot, under proper contract limitations, be be insured to avoid double spending without ever leaving the digital system. The bots can encapsulate and protect the permissioned ledgers without using the ledgers. Thus the counter parties can swap the currency one on one all they want, but the bots carry the passwords needed to re-register on the block chain, and the trusted miners are none the wiser. that digital bearer assets have been used.
The government needs biometrics to enforce the permissioned ledger calls. But if we have biometric cards, then we have counterfeit proofed smart cards and we get bearer assets any way. Governments are stuck, pinned against the wall on this.
George hammers the basic truth
Fedophilia:
If one has not understood a double entry accounting system, then one never understands the triple entry accounting needed for central banks. Central bank traders need to account for the monopsony fee. One cannot make a double entry model when central banks carry, by definition, a variable monopsony fee. And this comes straight from the theory of incomplete markets.
A variation of Georges point, the real world is modeled as a deviation from the welfare theorems. The real growth model is built as a deviation from the Solow growth model.
But, in the end, truth prevails because the physicists have proved the double entry accounting system with their profitless, libertarian theory of gravity as an emergent property. Gravity is error correction, we have motion in 3-D because we maintain a surplus for the market maker to fill a constrained 2-D channel. We are back to the theory of the market maker.
Is central banking doable? Well yes, but done correctly we remove the arbitrage moments by which traders gain government insurance. And, further, central banking is built into the Constitution, and explaining that problem to Congress is one steep issue. We may not get their. Our fintech firms understand the theory and they are not waiting for central banks to catch up.
Nor does the way monetary economics is taught help. In other subjects, the welfare theorems are taken seriously. In classes on international trade, for example, time is always spent, early on, on the implications of free trade: never mind that the world has never witnessed perfectly free trade, and probably never will; it’s understood that the consequences of tariffs and other sorts of state interference can only be properly assessed by comparing them to the free trade alternative, and no one who hasn’t studied that alternative can expect to have his or her pronouncements about the virtues of protectionism taken seriously.I can put this in sandbox terms.
In classes in monetary economics, on the other hand, the presence of a central bank—a monetary central planner, that is—is assumed from the get-go, and no serious attention is given to the implications of “free trade in money and banking." Consequently, when most monetary economists talk about the virtues of this or that central bank, they’re mostly talking through their hats, because they haven’t a clue concerning what other institutions might be present, and what they might be up to if the central bank wasn’t there.
If one has not understood a double entry accounting system, then one never understands the triple entry accounting needed for central banks. Central bank traders need to account for the monopsony fee. One cannot make a double entry model when central banks carry, by definition, a variable monopsony fee. And this comes straight from the theory of incomplete markets.
A variation of Georges point, the real world is modeled as a deviation from the welfare theorems. The real growth model is built as a deviation from the Solow growth model.
But, in the end, truth prevails because the physicists have proved the double entry accounting system with their profitless, libertarian theory of gravity as an emergent property. Gravity is error correction, we have motion in 3-D because we maintain a surplus for the market maker to fill a constrained 2-D channel. We are back to the theory of the market maker.
Is central banking doable? Well yes, but done correctly we remove the arbitrage moments by which traders gain government insurance. And, further, central banking is built into the Constitution, and explaining that problem to Congress is one steep issue. We may not get their. Our fintech firms understand the theory and they are not waiting for central banks to catch up.
Four lost elections in a row and a trillion in start up costs
Bloomberg in 2010:
Bloomberg was correct, and Krugman and company can take the hit for fraud. Bloomberg seems more correct than any of the Dem economists I have seen. The whole ten year episode with fraud, pure and simple. We ended up with a modest expansion of medicaid.
It is time to start writing off some of these bonehead losses inflicted by dumbshits from both parties.
“We passed a health care bill that does absolutely nothing to fix the big health care problems in this country. It is just a disgrace,” said Bloomberg at the Dartmouth Presidential Lecture in 2010. “The President, in all fairness, started out by pointing out what the big problems were, but then turned it over to Congress, which didn’t pay any attention to any of those big problems and just created another program that’s going to cost a lot of money.”Now Bernie's, desperate for one last go at the Godot thing wants to write off the Trillion and stick the kids with the more expensive bill.
“It’s really sad because they say they’ve insured or provided coverage for another 45 million people,” Bloomberg added in the speech. “Except there’s no doctors for 45 million more people and unless they fix immigration and let people who come here for medical education stay here, those people are just going to do the same thing. They’re going to have to go to the emergency rooms where they’ve been except that now it’s going to cost a lot more money.”
Bloomberg was correct, and Krugman and company can take the hit for fraud. Bloomberg seems more correct than any of the Dem economists I have seen. The whole ten year episode with fraud, pure and simple. We ended up with a modest expansion of medicaid.
It is time to start writing off some of these bonehead losses inflicted by dumbshits from both parties.
Fake mohummerdude
BEIRUT - Lebanon may not survive if its new government fails, the powerful Hezbollah warned on Sunday, urging the country's divided politicians not to obstruct the cabinet as it seeks to address an unprecedented economic and financial crisis.Sounds like your usual Jew hating welfare bum.
Hezbollah leader Sayyed Hassan Nasrallah also said there was no point in politicians trading blame over the causes of the crisis, after former prime minister Saad al-Hariri on Friday accused his rivals of pushing the country to near-collapse.
Invited to go camping by the failed Hispanic state
According to a statement from the the Housing and Urban Development website, Carson announced a $20 million investment into nine public housing agencies on Friday.As per the statement, the money will go towards helping “public housing families increase their earned income and become self-sufficient.”It follows a report issued by the Housing and Urban Development Department last year which said that the homeless population in California increased by 16.4 percent from 2018 to 2019, while 53 percent of all recorded homeless people in America lived in the state as of January 2019.Let us not fool ourselves with delusions. Let us instead celebrate the wonderful assortment of camp sites in LA.
Hispanic failed Stater in action
Joe Biden Calls Out Jorge Ramos’s Shameless Border Demagoguery
We do not get anything making sense from our Hispanic failed staters. Just note the near total failure of Latin america, there is no covering that up and Jorge cannot hide the illness.
Which is why we are getting Trump blubber spread ovre the streets
White House Memo Admits There Was No “Imminent Threat” Before Soleimani Assassination
Vance cannot save his ass as are we are noit spending trillions just to collect a bunch of rotten Trump blubber. That dumb shit family needs to get clues before they start wars.
Ten years too late
Lifelong Dem Laments: "After Attending A Trump Rally, I Realized Democrats Are Not Ready For 2020"
The time for mirror was ten years ago when Obamacare taxes went through the roof.
The problem of the left is waiting for Godot to show up, but she never arrives and millions of poor are left stranded. Like those homeless people stuck on the streets of LA. Why did the LA city council never get a clue? They were faked out by priors, they were all relying on the arrival of Godot, the scam promoted by Karl Marx.
Trump already declared war, it is on
Rouhani: War with Iran would 'ruin' Trump's reelection chances
It is not Trump's election prospects, it is who wants to scrape up 500 pounds of Trump blubber from the street after the Iranian kids drone the guy.
Rush and Trump are child molesters?
“I’m Not Going To Take Lectures On Family Values From The Likes Of Rush Limbaugh”
Trump is a sexual deviant and 500 pounds of walrus blubber. His family members are not much better. The only votes they will get weill be from the NRA steel pipe swallowers, and they are mostly dying in fentanyl camps.
Failed Hispanic Stater in action
AOC:
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez says the jury is still out on bail reform.
“What I would just say is that we should just give this time. It’s been five minutes,” AOC told The Post when asked if the controversial new law needed to be amended.
“Give it a shot. We’ve had almost no time since these things have passed. So I would just say, in this environment with political pressure, to maybe just say let’s just slow down a bit.”
They will, you are
President Trump surprisingly showed himself to be a fan of both Ralph Waldo Emerson and The New York Times on Saturday — tweeting out the 19th-century scribe’s famous quote, “When you strike at the King, you must kill him,” in yet another moment of post-impeachment-acquittal braggadocio.
The NSA warned us about flying bots about four weeks before you started the drone wars. You ignored the warning, you have no defense, and Trump Jr cannot help. You, Trump, are a walking bag of dead blubber awaiting the Iranian kids who have weapons against which you have no defense.
You are, Trump, a universally renowned idiot, like that Tom Cotton guy from Arkansas. About half of us do not care, you brought this on yourself.
Economics and gravity obey the same principle
Error correction.
In economics market makers correct mismatches, like the standard profitless S&L technology we are deploying. In economics it is the double sided options theory, in widespread use today. It is the hologram effect.
Both discoveries happened simultaneously. Both are fundamentally congestion management processes. The breakthrough in both theories? Dump the artificial time variable.
In economics market makers correct mismatches, like the standard profitless S&L technology we are deploying. In economics it is the double sided options theory, in widespread use today. It is the hologram effect.
Both discoveries happened simultaneously. Both are fundamentally congestion management processes. The breakthrough in both theories? Dump the artificial time variable.
Perfectly predictable
Allahpundit continues with stupid:
1) Bloomberg is one of the 100 super wealthy to manage the primary dealer system.
We’re at the stage of the Bloomberg boomlet right now where the sheer improbability of his rise to national contender leaves one reluctant to second-guess him, even on something as outlandish as this.
1) Bloomberg is one of the 100 super wealthy to manage the primary dealer system.
2) The primary dealer system is based in NY and NY gets eight years at the helm.
3) The primary dealers system is in real trouble because shadow banking can now front run the system.
Allahpundit is simple to stupid.
Trump leaves US troops stranded
Jerusalem Post:
Iraq’s pro-Iranian Harakat Hezbollah threatened the US. In a tweet showing a US armored vehicle at night the group claimed that “we are closer than you think.” The leader of Nujaba, Akram al-Kaabi has said that the countdown to achieve Iraq’s “sovereignty” had begun, a reference to removing US forces. He showed an image of US Reaper and Predator drone flight paths.Repubs getting US Troops killed over their stupid Saudi oil deals. Like that bonehead senator from Arkansas. The same bonehead senators that created the Vietnam fiasco.
The US sanctioned Nujaba in March of last year, part of a series of sanctions against Iran’s IRGC and pro-Iranian militias in Iraq. For instance Asaib Ahl al-Haq’s leader Qais Khazali was also sanctioned in December. These militias have tens of thousands of members and are linked to Iran. They fought ISIS and helped form the Popular Mobilization Units. They are now an official arm of the Iraqi security forces. However they have their own munitions warehouses and some are often directly loyal to Iran’s leadership. The US killed Kataib Hezbollah leader Abu Mahdi al-Muhandis and IRGC Quds Force commander Qasem Soleimani on January 3. Soleimani helped organize the militias in Iraq, and Muhandis was deputy commander of the PMU. The PMU is also called the Hashd al-Sha’abi. Most of its members are Shi’ites.
Our constitutional right to a regulated militia
LAS VEGAS (AP) — Joe Biden, standing on a Las Vegas stage roughly 1,000 feet from the scene of the deadliest mass shooting in modern U.S. history, took on White House rival Bernie Sanders for his past vote to exempt gun manufacturers from liability for shootings.Joe gets a gold star I will reconsider him. Note that NRA nuts deprive us of the right, guaranteed in the Second. The penalty is banishment to fentanyl camps where we await their suicide.
The former vice president devoted the majority of his Saturday night speech at a Democratic gala on the Las Vegas Strip to deliver a fiery charge against the National Rifle Association and gun manufacturers, vowing to hold gun makers accountable if elected president.
Debt
Washington Beacon asks the cause
Debt and suicide. Folks get deluded about government, then discover the truth and they are trapped.
Like the Solow growth model, assuming we meet the Euler conditions when we do not. So we suffer sudden stops, killer changes happening overnight to our lives. We become depressed, helpless.
Small states are subject to sudden stops because they are doomed by social programs on a national scale. The solution is for small states to ban together and shut down government and demand a restructuring of the state system along the lines specified by Sandbox theory. Sandbox does not suffer the delusion problem, is specifies the solutions most of which involve stopping the delusions.
1. Montana — 26
2. Alaska — 25.4
3. Wyoming — 25.2
4. New Mexico — 22.5
5. Utah — 21.8
6. Nevada — 21.4
7. Idaho — 21.3
8. Oklahoma — 20.9
9. Colorado — 20.5
9. South Dakota — 20.5
11. West Virginia — 19.5
12. North Dakota — 19
13. Missouri — 18.3
14. Arkansas — 18.2
15. Kansas — 17.9
16. Oregon — 17.8
17. Arizona — 17.6
18. New Hampshire — 17.3
18. Vermont — 17.3
20. Kentucky — 16.8
21. Tennessee — 16.3
22. Maine — 15.7
Debt and suicide. Folks get deluded about government, then discover the truth and they are trapped.
Like the Solow growth model, assuming we meet the Euler conditions when we do not. So we suffer sudden stops, killer changes happening overnight to our lives. We become depressed, helpless.
Small states are subject to sudden stops because they are doomed by social programs on a national scale. The solution is for small states to ban together and shut down government and demand a restructuring of the state system along the lines specified by Sandbox theory. Sandbox does not suffer the delusion problem, is specifies the solutions most of which involve stopping the delusions.
1. Montana — 26
2. Alaska — 25.4
3. Wyoming — 25.2
4. New Mexico — 22.5
5. Utah — 21.8
6. Nevada — 21.4
7. Idaho — 21.3
8. Oklahoma — 20.9
9. Colorado — 20.5
9. South Dakota — 20.5
11. West Virginia — 19.5
12. North Dakota — 19
13. Missouri — 18.3
14. Arkansas — 18.2
15. Kansas — 17.9
16. Oregon — 17.8
17. Arizona — 17.6
18. New Hampshire — 17.3
18. Vermont — 17.3
20. Kentucky — 16.8
21. Tennessee — 16.3
22. Maine — 15.7
Saturday, February 15, 2020
Mr. Trump Jr has much bigger problems
Rages at Media Ignoring Attempted Terror Attack on Trump SupportersThe odds are that Mr Trump senior will be droned into a large liquid layer of blubber by the Iranians kids with their home built UAVs, for which your fat dad has no defense.
Trump's energy guy is a dunce:
President Donald Trump’s top energy official said he’s confident that Russia won’t be able to complete the Nord Stream 2 gas pipeline in the Baltic Sea -- and signaled that the U.S. will press forward with its opposition to the project.
Asked about Russian efforts to circumvent U.S. sanctions on the pipeline by completing it on its own, U.S. Energy Secretary Dan Brouillette said “they can’t” -- and dismissed claims that project owner Gazprom PJSC will face only a short delay.
It is there business, bonehead. Not only will Russia get it done but they will make a bit of money in the process.
So change the world order
About half of us would prefer the other world order. Just look at the debt losses Trump incurs via bad management. Why not have someone else in charge of world finances, someone with brains unlike our defense secretary.
George Will is still hanging around:
The Senate’s Self-Degradation Is Even More Depressing Than Trump’s Misbehavior
And what does George propose? Nothing much except complain, but that gets us no where when Arkansas is electing nut cases like Tom Cotton. When George has an actionable solution, besides philosophizing, then call me.George Will is still hanging around:
The Senate’s Self-Degradation Is Even More Depressing Than Trump’s Misbehavior
Here is some more government stupidity for George to ponder:
Klobuchar, Steyer are stumped on Mexican president’s name
"Can you tell me his name?" Klobuchar was asked by a reporter.We call him AMLO for short. Andrés Manuel Lopez Obrador. Obrador being the Spanish term for Failed Stater.
“No,” the three-term Minnesota senator said.
Steyer, a billionaire businessman, said he “forgot.”
Buttigieg was the only one of the three participants to correctly name the Mexican leader. The Klobuchar campaign didn't immediately respond to a report the candidate left the interview before it was scheduled to end.
Bloomberg!
"If women wanted to be appreciated for their brains, they'd go to the library not Bloomingdale's."How correct. Women demonstarate they are willing o spend an hour each day working the mirror. We men know this, we know we will spend time waiting for them to get this done.
Who in their right mind is going to hire a women whose only aim to to appear in a transgender party?
Liz hits back:
Warren Claims Bloomberg’s ‘Redlining’ Comments Should Disqualify Him from Presidential Race
Sorry Liz, the restrictions on freedom of speech are yours entirely, Bloomberg is not subject to those whims of the party.
I could go with Spanish
Klobuchar says English should not be US national language, reversing from prior vote
Spanish has rhythm to it. lately I have been losing interest for while, busy with other things, like keeping the unions off my back.
Violated our right to regulated militia
Gun Maker Files For Bankruptcy Following Lawsuit
And got sued and went bankrupt and will soon be swallowing steel pipes. Mass suicide of NRA nuts, promoted by Bearing Arms.
Return of the Ottoman empire
Turkey's Erdogan: Situation in Idlib won't be solved until Syrian forces withdraw
Just erase the post WW1 borders. That was Hillary's plot and we are returning to that? Does Trump really understand the issue?
The problem with the Solow growth model
He assumed the Euler conditions without explaining how they arrived.
Once the Euler conditions are assumed, then it is game over, the real work of economics has disappeared and we end up with a variable simulation game. We can name the exponents all we want, we can pick out and measure teddy bears vs vacuum cleaners and get the same result because once the conditions are met they are met everywhere. Labor and capital become one of many different possibilities.
Solow needed to show that the labor,capital dichotomy was the shortest path to meeting the Euler conditions. That is, folks actually went around and measured themselves against the machines and thus labor/capital is the best simulation choice.
In reality, if economics has such a thing, we meet the Euler conditions by avoiding long lines which implies meeting the Nash conditions. . From there it was simple enough to find the secret of queue management, and the game is over, sandbox wins. What people are secretly think becomes immaterial, all their economic motives can be measured by measuring line length when Nash conditions are met.
Congestion management is the basic principle of the universe.
Once the Euler conditions are assumed, then it is game over, the real work of economics has disappeared and we end up with a variable simulation game. We can name the exponents all we want, we can pick out and measure teddy bears vs vacuum cleaners and get the same result because once the conditions are met they are met everywhere. Labor and capital become one of many different possibilities.
Solow needed to show that the labor,capital dichotomy was the shortest path to meeting the Euler conditions. That is, folks actually went around and measured themselves against the machines and thus labor/capital is the best simulation choice.
In reality, if economics has such a thing, we meet the Euler conditions by avoiding long lines which implies meeting the Nash conditions. . From there it was simple enough to find the secret of queue management, and the game is over, sandbox wins. What people are secretly think becomes immaterial, all their economic motives can be measured by measuring line length when Nash conditions are met.
Congestion management is the basic principle of the universe.
Repubs doing deals with Al Queda, again
Turkey supplies militants in Syria with anti-aircraft missiles ...
Ever since Reagan, repubs end up doing deals with Al Queda and getting America bombed. Reragan, the Bush family and Trump; all based on Saudi oil deals.
It will not stop, now we have a new generation of retarded repub senator, like Tom Cotton of Arkansas. Either we suff from retarded repub senators or we implement a sudden stop until the repubs fix the problem.
Failed state Hispanic discover failed state Hispanicism
Hill:
Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro’s quiet move to restore elements of free enterprise to his nation’s economy should serve as a cautionary tale for anyone listening to Sen. Bernie Sanders’ siren song of socialism in the Democratic primaries or who is still tempted by promises of socialist bliss.And we get one slightly less failed state Hispanic. Can our own failed Hispanic state get the same clue?
Trump and Limbaugh are having sex?
CNN's Tapper Claims Limbaugh 'Bigotry' Against Minorities, Women
How? It must be phone sex as they both suffer from 500 pounds of Walrus blubber.European leaders are not as dumb as Trump
Many People In NATO Countries Say "No" To Supporting A NATO Ally In Military Conflict With Russia
Trump and his 5,000 troops surrounded by 250k Shia militia are not going to be rescued by Europe. Trump screwed this up, Trump is on his own.Friday, February 14, 2020
Massive fetus aquariums
Critics say that the Born-Alive Abortion Survivors Protection Act is unnecessary. I wish that it were. While it’s hard to imagine many Americans opposing a bill that would ensure that medical provision was administered to a struggling newborn child, many in Washington would prefer that it never be mentioned, because it would protect infants born alive after an attempted abortion.
Russel Moore of National Review introduces the Matrix.
The system allows a pregnant women to drop the little fellow into an aquarium at up to two months after gestation. We thus begin deploying massive aquariums. Soon after deployment, it becomes clear that costs remain low if the fetus remains in the aquarium, and the Matrix is born. Implant the USB chip in the brains of the little tykes and we all have programming jobs for life.
Florida is packed with retired New Yorkers
Poll: Bloomberg overtakes Biden in Florida
Michael Bloomberg is leading the pack of Democratic presidential hopefuls in Florida, according to a new survey from St. Pete Polls, a sign that the former New York City mayor has picked up traction in a crucial swing state before most of his rivals have even started to campaign there.And we have a bunch of New Yorkers there who are escaping from Cuomo and BaBlowsio. Thus back to my theme, New York has spent a long time running from the local taxing agents and they want control of the White House to get a break. They deserve another four more years according to the regional rotation of the presidency which takes place.
The poll shows Bloomberg with 27.3 percent support in the Sunshine State, up 10 points from a similar poll released late last month. Biden, meanwhile, has seen his support in Florida plummet, falling from more than 41 percent in January to 25.9 percent this month.
It is not the end game
Debt, Deficits, & The Path To MM
...the end-game cometh!It is just the regularly scheduled default, it will be mild and government continues. The problem is not the default, it is the sudden turbulent overnight MMT episode, mostly engineered by the panicked economists.
Suggest we ignore conventional wisdom and just assume this happens on a regular basis, then hedge the event next time. Taking that approach allows us to minimize the mass hysteria propagated by the confused economist.
More government debtless real growth
Just the opposite of what the UC Berkeley economists tell us.
Orange line is real growth dropping as Repubs run up the debt. Almost all of that debt happening on repub watch.
Chart from Real Investment Advice, although just about everyone except UC Berkeley professors are making this chart.
What is interest is that growth drops most rapidly, all the time, just when Treasury is covering its past losses. UC Berkeley call it stimulus, but that is a lie. It is really bailing out Congressional losses from the past.
Orange line is real growth dropping as Repubs run up the debt. Almost all of that debt happening on repub watch.
Chart from Real Investment Advice, although just about everyone except UC Berkeley professors are making this chart.
What is interest is that growth drops most rapidly, all the time, just when Treasury is covering its past losses. UC Berkeley call it stimulus, but that is a lie. It is really bailing out Congressional losses from the past.
California will take a big hit
Capital Economics in London
The economic casualties from China’s coronavirus epidemic are mounting as Asian and European auto plants run short of parts, free-spending Chinese tourists stay home and American companies brace for unpredictable turbulence.Chinese home buyers are staying home. China trade through California will slow way down. As the stock market levels off in response, California income drops dramatically. California is barely 2% in growth, its peak for the Trump cycle has happened. The shutdowns will send the state to tipping point.
That’s just the start of a financial hangover that is expected to linger for months even if the flulike illness is soon brought under control, economists and supply chain experts say. The Chinese epidemic’s aftereffects will likely cause the global economy to shrink this quarter for the first time since the depths of the 2009 financial crisis, according to Capital Economics in London.
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