Accoring to Prof. Neil Ferguson, Vice Dean Faculty of Medicine, Imperial College in London :
The virus has fouled out economic indicators and the stock market is a bit lost. I guess that is why we call it a Black Swan.
- 50,000 new cases a day in china
- Infections doubling every 5 days
- Death rate is still unknown
- China likely to peak in March
- Epidemic peak is still a month away
- It will be very hard to control this epidemic the say way we did with SARS 15-20 years ago
- Cases are always underestimated
- Death delays are as long as three weeks
- Reported deaths outside China are not reassuring because of delays
- We still don't know the full effects
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