California will have the same effect

NYC Mayor Finally Admits Bail Reform Linked To Spike In Crime

In this case there is no balance for the public security, both sides of the trade handed to the judges, who promptly go astray.  This is the judicial nightmare of them all, criminal courts become hopelessly jammed. New York is on the brink of failed state. They are a liability to the senate, a threat of sudden stop.

At a sub 2% growth rate many of the large states suffer liquidity growth due to implicit deflation in incomes and sales taxes.  Any blunder, be it Newsom or that Cuomo guy and they tip their states.