(Wikimedia Commons)Right now, people in markets are worried about one big thing: liquidity.
But there's a problem: no one is exactly sure how to define or measure it.
This week, Peter Hooper and his
team at Deutsche Bank wrote a big report dissecting the subject of
liquidity and defined it — or tried to — as follows:
What do we mean by market liquidity? Although there are potentially many different definitions of market liquidity, in
its simplest form we think of a liquid market as one in which trades
can be executed with some immediacy at low transaction costs.
But even within this short and simple definition there are many
uncertainties: Does this refer to all trades, regardless of size, or
only trades of a "normal" size? What constitutes a low transaction cost,
and how do we best measure this? Because of these uncertainties, there is no single best metric for the level of liquidity in a market.
Let
i be the probability of a trade relative to the total market. Then we want
-iLog(i) less than
1.0 . Now this makes a bold assumption, namely that the stock market or bond market trades paper coherently with the economy it measures, and the economy is adiabatic.
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