Bloomberg
But the distribution is skewed. We get no returns more often than the extreme return. q > p.
We want to modify the terms in the distribution to make it look like a centered distribution with a fair coin. We have to bet more on the tail end and bet less where it is skewed left. Treat the distribution like four options, you can bet a zero return or p^1 ... to p^4. Make your bet equal to some b^k for each term, b > 1 and the total return can look like a fair coin flip.
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