We have two numbers, the potential splits, and the skew needed to get this passed.
We have a total of 4500 billion at stake, and we will soon get enough earmarks to liquifiy all of it.
We have a total of 4500 billion at stake, and we will soon get enough earmarks to liquifiy all of it.
If we divided by state then each state gets 90 billion
If we divided by district then each district gets 8.8 billion
If we divided by district then each district gets 8.8 billion
The median state, the ones with about 5-15 house districts will split half to the senators and half to the districts. They are median states because their house and senate votes tend to agree, and their governors know the game of fair distributions.
No matter what the choice, the small states win big, but prefer to split toward the senators. The largest states, Texas, Florida, or California have governments that are deliberately ignorant about how this split works. But we will skew this a bit toward the House to collect enough votes in these large states.
The small states will still do great, likely picking up 10-12 billion per small state if the earmarks can sufficiently liquify the payments. Thus everything boils down to earmarks, which are stable coins. We need enough of these stable coins to attract part of Texas or Florida to the cash payments. I am thinking another 300 earmarks on top of the 300 already added.
No comments:
Post a Comment