Tuesday, June 5, 2018

Deflationary to US

And moments ago, the Brazilian central bank became the latest Emerging Market whose central bank was forced to intervene in the FX market amid relentless dollar strength, as the USDBRL spiked above 3.80, the highest level since March 2016, when Emerging Markets were crashing following the Chinese devaluation.
Brazil has reasons to struggle and the flight to dollar does not help.  All of this forebodes larger deficits.  

Reduced domestic production reduces both taxes and GDP. Foreign exporters drop prices to gain dollars, same dollars chasing more goods as dollar gains share.  

Emerging markets are requanting, a non-adiabatic queue adjustment, the adjustment could not be made via 'node by node' transformations within international currency uncertainty.  If your economy uses the US dollar, then the economy need be homomorphic to the US economy, that is, the smaller economy be an embedded factor in the US system. Japan did this for years.

Currency pairs from different economic zones need long queues. Fair currency trading needs to watch the complete  sequence for each zone, making the currencies liquid to each other, not imposing a holding risk.  Coinbase deals with this problem.

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