Thursday, March 26, 2020

Numbers

Positive
65,512
Negative
367,143
Pending
Hospitalized
6,322
Death
936
Total test results
432,655


From the Covid tracking database, reported by state. These are still a bit unstable, these are not yet random tests.  NYC is the main diver of data on this.

They show about 1/5 of us have the disease already.  That group is immune for the season, we assume. Death rates ate 1.5%, but the sample is biased toward the sick.  1.5% is below the original 2%, that number will reduce in days as ad hoc diagnostic trials are ongoing worldwide with complete collaboration.

This chart tells me that immunity will grow fast, we may not be at peak, but the peak of this thing will not drag out longer than eight weeks. Watch NYC.

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