In phase one, in Fresno, we have 16, infected by four travelers. This town should have 200 fatalities in phase two according to these stats quoted, so far. That would be ten times the rate for a severe flue.
Phase two is about two weeks away, but in the last two weeks we have learned quite a bit on symptom treatment and testing. The optimistic view, mine, is that the local fatality rate will be closer to 40--80. I expect this to be two to four times worse than the last flu since 1990.
Yes the hospital rooms will be full, patients in the corridor. But home treatment will expand and fill the void. In two weeks we will have a currently recommended cocktail for symptoms. I am not counting on the mild symptoms, the one that just need a day off and rest then remission. How many are there? We dunno yet. In Fresno we have 200 test kits, mainly used for those showing symptoms. There is no random testing and we may already be in phase two.
Yes the hospital rooms will be full, patients in the corridor. But home treatment will expand and fill the void. In two weeks we will have a currently recommended cocktail for symptoms. I am not counting on the mild symptoms, the one that just need a day off and rest then remission. How many are there? We dunno yet. In Fresno we have 200 test kits, mainly used for those showing symptoms. There is no random testing and we may already be in phase two.
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