Hong Kong Is Winning the Global Public-Opinion War With Beijing The Atlantic
Mainland centralizers vs the provinces. Hong Kong is the largest part of that struggle, aggregation has limits, it puts stress on the set of provinces.
The solution is to do Belt and Road with one half the volatility as the last time they did Belt and Road. Say: "OK, we have a free market port of entry, a single exception a new line of symmetry". Give them multiparty democracy, and see if this pushes Belt and Road. I think it does. Xi has a trade there that is Pareto efficient.
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