Monday, June 8, 2020

In a recession

But we were cheated, our natural experiments Black swanned We lost order and dunno how much of this is piling on.  How fast are we in a hurry?  A la of us are unequivocal or better off. Some of us ready to take vacations, some just pooped, some tired of Godot and some might stay on strike. Commercial property owners seem screwed.  Effects uneven. But the rebellion was coming anyway, well predicted.

One thing I got out of the covid experiment was triadic response, the third dimension adapts in estimates of k, the neighborhood size where triadic keeps R < 1. It was the first macro economic model that met Lucas in my opinion. It was a demonstration of Markov curvature, set resolution and partition ratios, self sampling.

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