Zarif’s comments prefigured the strategy that Iran’s Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei is following today in his brinksmanship with President Trump. Playing on the fear, especially prevalent among European elites and American Democrats, that Trump is, precisely, an agent of chaos, Khamenei has taken a leaf from the book of Chinese leader Xi Jinping, who in 2017 appeared at the World Economic Forum as the representative of enlightened globalism. “We should adhere to multilateralism to uphold the authority and efficacy of multilateral institutions,” Xi declared. “We should honor promises and abide by rules.”Iran has won the war, it needs to avoid the battle.
Iran needs to point to the huge military investment we are making, thousands of troops, squadron of F22, carriers sailing back and forth, and the money we need to poor into the locals down there. What we will get is another terrorist attack from the Sunni's, who hate us.
Then the monetary side the alternative CBs are making a special purpose transfer vehicle to avoid sanctions, and Iran has enough asian and euro trade to make it work. The Chinese like the prospect, and they are putting up belt and road money (with lots of conditions).
Then we have Germany, it wants Russian gas for Europe, and does not like baking down on the pipeline.
Now we have Trump likely taking sides in the new Libyan civil war. He has gotten us in so deep we will spend trillions getting out, we been on this road before.
So, Persia, just sit tight. Keep Bashar, keep the Iraqi government, let things settle and build pipelines west, to Lebanon. Avoid using unconventional methods to ship meth precursor to the cartels in California.
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