Monday, January 1, 2018

The escrow routers jam

Yeah, I think a better terminology would be short squeeze. It’s sort of a dollar short squeeze. And, again, if we think about the Eurodollar development from things all the way back as – some things like banker’s acceptances – it’s essentially a short dollar system, where every participant in it is short the dollar
OK, great, we can understand what is going on

The current world is essentially  network of escrow routers, but a huge proportion of the ledger services are denominated in dollars.   Institutional traders engaging in robo contracts will pay a dollar interest charge, rather than hold dollars.  The terms are short and the dollar markets very liquid.

They are short  dollars in their contracts, they do not hold a small dollar account as they get through some sequence of adjustments to their portfolios. Now the Fed sops up dollars, the traders need to suddenly change and grab a window of dollars to avoid sudden interest charges.

Under these circumstances, the S&L robo pits will requant, rewindow deposits to loans with interest charges and gains. The requant is the squeeze, the generator is going to drop rank momentarily while the traders take a second look, get their deja vu moment. Then we go back, get about one and a half more savers than borrowers.

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