When Donald Trump bemoaned that a weakening yuan had nullified some of the punitive effect of his tariffs on China, he was highlighting, unwittingly perhaps, a crucial flaw in his foreign policy tool of choice: In an era of free-floating exchange rates, currencies adjust so quickly they can offset the intended impact of higher levies before they even take hold.Shadow banking, including bitcoin, will respond almost before the tariff order hits the ports.
It’s an inconvenient truth for the U.S. in its escalating trade war with the world’s only other economic superpower, and one that could complicate the president’s efforts to use tariffs as way to pressure America’s major trading partners into making concessions.
Saturday, June 15, 2019
And central banks cannot help
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