Monday, August 24, 2020

A ovid bet

Delta plans to furlough nearly 2,000 pilots in October

At the heart of this is covid, when will it be partially defeated/ Both parties can see a window where both are better of staying home and betting the bio companies. Philosophy will not solve this one, this is make up as you go along until the coin looks like a fair toss.

The rate of progress is finite and the total possible paths countable.  We know the potential complications, the T cell mismatches, and have seen the antibody. These steps take a quarter, the total factorial paths is about five steps, we have past at least on.  o four more quarters is a good bet considering the pay offs.

It also looks industry standard. Hence, a four quarter minimum payment unemployment extension seems like a marginal gain. The unemployment checks are betting the covid binomial.

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