Richard Higgins: I think the understanding of events taking place in the Middle East, along with events taking place in wider South West/South East Asia, has to be viewed through the prism of the economic realignment that’s attempting to be put in place by the current administration with China. Any thoughts about Iran that don’t incorporate the Chinese economic angle and their One Belt, One Road strategy are inconclusive to events.The same is true in the North Korea situation. I think the maximum pressure campaign has been underway for a long time now, but one has to ask oneself, “Why are the Iranians acting out now?” My personal belief is that it’s largely due to the fact that the G20 meeting is coming up and I’m sure the G20 meeting is driving a lot of these events. Far more so than the average strategist needs to be thinking about.Richard Higgins is talking about the Iran conflict, and includes global strategy.
But neither the US nor Trump have any reason to be in strategic competition with belt and road, that is strictly Russia, China and now Iran; none of our business.
Form allies:
RH: I think you can understand the Ayatollah’s actions in trying to break our united front, right? Which is to peel off the Japanese, peel off the European Union. The Chinese strategy would be to isolate the United States. The United States’ strategy will be to hold China accountable for the actions of their own and their surrogates. But the Chinese have a strategy, I mean, it really goes back to Sun Tzu, which is: Operate through surrogates. Don’t be directly attributable for these different events.Trump has no united front. He has a deal with the Saudis concerning military sales, and is otherwise opposed on this mess by just about everyone, include most of the US citizens. We have no business in Asia, stick to freedom of the seas and tariffs, if you please. Leave Belt and road out of the equation or you will cause a huge, expensive stink and we will run the ass Trump out of DC.
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