Microsoft founder Bill Gates said in a new interview that the U.S. would be “lucky” to have a coronavirus vaccine by the end of the year.
The first vaccines, Gates told Bloomberg, “won’t be ideal in terms of its effectiveness against sickness and transmission. It may not have a long duration, and it will mainly be used in rich countries as a stopgap measure.”
“We’d be lucky to have much before the end of the year. But then, in 2021, a number of other vaccines are very likely to get approved,” he added. “With so many companies working on it, we can afford quite a few failures and still have something with low cost and long duration.”
Asked whether such a vaccine should be mandatory, Gates cautioned that imposing such a requirement “can often backfire.”
However, he added, “you might say that if you’re going to work in an old-folks home or have any exposure to elderly people, it would be required.”
Gates also expressed optimism that further therapeutic innovations would lead to a lower death rate even before a vaccine is finalized. However, he said, “the true end will come from the spread of natural infections and the vaccine giving us herd immunity. For rich countries, that will be sometime next year, ideally in the first half.”
My optimum covid investment sounds like his. I have late 2021. We still have to find the relationship between cross immunity and cytokine storms. That is coming in a couple of quarters, then we can evaluate the safety and effectiveness of the various medications, not all of them vaccines.
I noticed also that Bill is struggling with the concept of personal encryption, he against, but not me. I think the facts are on my side.
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