Biden is favored to win the election
There are more scenarios where Biden gets the electoral vote. All but two of the sixteen scenarios require Biden to win Florida. The latest poll has Biden up six in Florida. But his poll numbers have dropped ten points lately.
Anything could swing that state, like a mass shooting or covid takes a worse dump or they don't like Kamala or wing nut Cubans cause a stink. Biden's biggest challenge is to sell Kamala to Floridians. But Kamala is a Calizuelan, a tough sell.
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