Friday, April 5, 2019

Another black swan

Boeing cutting production rate of troubled 737 Max jet

Some of may have hedged a monopoly export industry, but not many. This is a 20% cut of their main export, and the economy will take a 10-20 basis point hit in growth for a couple of years, if the MV=QY equation on the back of my envelope is correct.  We are definitely in 'skate by' mode at the moment. I have to give slight odds to a mild recession.

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